New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union

MLS - April 12, 2025 11:40 PM

New York City FC have a 46.8% of winning.
Philadelphia Union have a 27.1% of winning.
A Draw has a 26.1% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

New York City FCPhiladelphia Union
46.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10648.5%C

New York City FC
106
Break Even48.5%
Probability46.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10648.5%C

New York City FC
Betonline.ag106
Break Even48.5%
Probability46.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada10548.8%C

New York City FC
Bovada105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie10548.8%C

New York City FC
MyBookie105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS10548.8%C

New York City FC
BetUS105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings10050.0%F

New York City FC
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers10050.0%F

New York City FC
BetRivers100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-11052.4%F

New York City FC
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability46.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
27.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig26227.6%C

Philadelphia Union
262
Break Even27.6%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 27.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag26227.6%C

Philadelphia Union
Betonline.ag262
Break Even27.6%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 27.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel26027.8%C

Philadelphia Union
260
Break Even27.8%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS25128.5%C

Philadelphia Union
BetUS251
Break Even28.5%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 28.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings24529.0%C

Philadelphia Union
DraftKings245
Break Even29.0%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada24029.4%F

Philadelphia Union
Bovada240
Break Even29.4%
Probability27.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie24029.4%F

Philadelphia Union
MyBookie240
Break Even29.4%
Probability27.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers23529.9%F

Philadelphia Union
BetRivers235
Break Even29.9%
Probability27.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 29.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
26.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers27526.7%C

Draw
BetRivers275
Break Even26.7%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada27027.0%C

Draw
Bovada270
Break Even27.0%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig26527.4%C

Draw
265
Break Even27.4%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag26527.4%C

Draw
Betonline.ag265
Break Even27.4%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel26027.8%C

Draw
260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie26027.8%C

Draw
MyBookie260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS25728.0%C

Draw
BetUS257
Break Even28.0%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings25028.6%F

Draw
DraftKings250
Break Even28.6%
Probability26.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

47.3% chance that New York City FC win by 0.5 or more points.
52.7% chance that Philadelphia Union win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

New York City FC (-0.5)Philadelphia Union (0.5)
47.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10648.5%C

New York City FC (-0.5)
106
Break Even48.5%
Probability47.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10648.5%C

New York City FC (-0.5)
Betonline.ag106
Break Even48.5%
Probability47.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie10149.8%F

New York City FC (-0.5)
MyBookie101
Break Even49.8%
Probability47.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 49.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11353.1%F

New York City FC (-0.5)
BetUS-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability47.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York City FC (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-11753.9%C

Philadelphia Union (0.5)
BetUS-117
Break Even53.9%
Probability52.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-12655.8%F

Philadelphia Union (0.5)
-126
Break Even55.8%
Probability52.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (0.5) spread must be more likely than 55.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12655.8%F

Philadelphia Union (0.5)
Betonline.ag-126
Break Even55.8%
Probability52.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (0.5) spread must be more likely than 55.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-13357.1%F

Philadelphia Union (0.5)
MyBookie-133
Break Even57.1%
Probability52.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (0.5) spread must be more likely than 57.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

55.2% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
44.8% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
55.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-13557.4%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-14358.8%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-143
Break Even58.8%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 58.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-14959.8%F

Over (2.5)
MyBookie-149
Break Even59.8%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 59.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie11346.9%F

Under (2.5)
MyBookie113
Break Even46.9%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 46.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers11247.2%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers112
Break Even47.2%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS10548.8%F

Under (2.5)
BetUS105
Break Even48.8%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.