Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

MLS - Jul 22, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Fire31.1%215
BetRivers		C
Inter Miami CF45.7%112
Betonline.ag		C
Draw23.2%315
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jul 25, 2026 4:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Thomas Petersen38.8%155
Ceasers		B
Valter Walker61.2%-161
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jul 25, 2026 4:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mike Davis34.9%185
Betonline.ag		B
Nurullo Aliev65.1%-195
BetRivers		C
MMA - Jul 25, 2026 4:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Dulatov77.2%600
Ceasers		A+
Wellington Turman22.8%650
Betonline.ag		A+
MMA - Jul 25, 2026 4:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ramazonbek Temirov50.2%-106
Fanduel		C
Stephen Erceg49.8%-105
Betonline.ag		C
MLS - Jul 22, 2026 7:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta United FC25.1%300
BetRivers		A-
Charlotte FC48.7%-105
Fanduel		F
Draw26.2%270
Fanduel		C
MLS - Jul 22, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New England Revolution49.4%-105
Fanatics		C
Toronto FC25.2%310
BetRivers		A+
Draw25.4%285
Lowvig		C
WNBA - Jul 22, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Sky20.9%410
DraftKings		A+
New York Liberty79.1%-440
Bovada		F
WNBA - Jul 22, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Connecticut Sun20.6%385
BetUS		B
Indiana Fever79.4%-420
BetRivers		C
MLS - Jul 22, 2026 7:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
D.C. United21.9%350
Fanatics		B
Houston Dynamo53.0%-125
Lowvig		F
Draw25.1%285
BetRivers		C

Upcoming Events Today:

MLB - Jul 21, 2026 5:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cleveland Guardians57.4%-143
BetRivers		C
Minnesota Twins42.6%132
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 5:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Dodgers46.8%110
BetUS		C
Philadelphia Phillies53.2%-120
Lowvig		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 6:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Yankees55.5%-132
Lowvig		C
Pittsburgh Pirates44.5%120
Fanduel		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 6:08 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Tampa Bay Rays50.9%-109
Lowvig		C
Toronto Blue Jays49.1%-101
Lowvig		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 6:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Baltimore Orioles43.9%123
Betonline.ag		C
Boston Red Sox56.1%-136
Fanduel		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 6:16 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Braves56.7%-138
Lowvig		C
San Diego Padres43.3%126
Bovada		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 6:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kansas City Royals49.1%-101
Betonline.ag		C
San Francisco Giants50.9%-109
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 6:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Milwaukee Brewers55.1%-128
Betonline.ag		C
New York Mets44.9%123
BetRivers		A-
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 7:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago White Sox45.9%115
BetUS		C
Texas Rangers54.1%-124
BetRivers		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 7:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Cubs52.2%-114
BetUS		C
Detroit Tigers47.8%104
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 7:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Houston Astros53.2%-120
Betonline.ag		C
Miami Marlins46.8%109
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 7:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colorado Rockies49.6%-101
Betonline.ag		C
Washington Nationals50.4%-107
BetRivers		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 8:39 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Angels51.7%-113
Betonline.ag		C
St. Louis Cardinals48.3%103
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 8:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arizona Diamondbacks55.6%-133
Lowvig		C
Athletics44.4%122
BetUS		C
MLB - Jul 21, 2026 8:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cincinnati Reds47.9%105
Betonline.ag		C
Seattle Mariners52.1%-113
BetRivers		C