Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 9:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
California Golden Bears45.6%120
Bovada		A-
UCLA Bruins54.4%-124
Fanduel		C
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 11:35 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Luis Felipe Dias48.7%103
Betonline.ag		C
Matthieu Duclos51.3%-110
Ceasers		C
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Charlotte 49ers90.9%-1650
DraftKings		F
Citadel Bulldogs9.1%1050
Fanatics		A
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Idaho State Bengals18.5%430
Fanduel		B
Utah State Aggies81.5%-575
Fanatics		F
MLS - Sep 4, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nashville SC41.7%131
MyBookie		C
New York City FC31.4%211
Lowvig		C
Draw26.9%262
Lowvig		C
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 9:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nevada Wolf Pack48.7%-102
Fanduel		C
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers51.3%-114
Ceasers		C
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bowling Green Falcons54.2%-126
Fanduel		C
Tarleton State Texans45.8%114
DraftKings		C
NFL - Sep 10, 2026 7:35 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Rams64.3%-192
DraftKings		C
San Francisco 49ers35.7%180
Bovada		A-
MLS - Sep 5, 2026 8:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
LA Galaxy39.5%145
Fanduel		C
New England Revolution35.3%175
BetRivers		C
Draw25.2%283
Lowvig		C
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Auburn Tigers71.5%-285
Fanatics		F
Baylor Bears28.5%240
Fanduel		C

Upcoming Events Today:

MLB - Sep 4, 2026 5:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cincinnati Reds41.2%143
Ceasers		A-
Milwaukee Brewers58.8%-148
BetRivers		C
NCAAF - Sep 4, 2026 5:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Eastern Michigan Eagles57.2%-139
Betonline.ag		C
San Jose State Spartans42.8%130
Bovada		C
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 5:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Braves49.7%-104
MyBookie		C
Philadelphia Phillies50.3%-105
Lowvig		C
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 5:46 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Angels36.4%171
Lowvig		C
Pittsburgh Pirates63.6%-190
Lowvig		C
NCAAF - Sep 4, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Georgia State Panthers95.3%-6000
Fanatics		F
North Carolina A&T Aggies 4.7%2400
Fanduel		A
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 6:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Baltimore Orioles48.4%105
Ceasers		B
Boston Red Sox51.6%-111
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Cubs59.6%-157
Ceasers		C
Miami Marlins40.4%147
Ceasers		B
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 6:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Mets63.9%-190
Fanduel		C
San Francisco Giants36.1%175
Ceasers		B
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 6:16 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cleveland Guardians56.0%-133
BetUS		C
Detroit Tigers44.0%125
Ceasers		B
MLS - Sep 4, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nashville SC41.7%131
MyBookie		C
New York City FC31.4%211
Lowvig		C
Draw26.9%262
Lowvig		C
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 6:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago White Sox51.6%-111
Ceasers		C
Minnesota Twins48.4%102
Betonline.ag		C
NCAAF - Sep 4, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Oklahoma Sooners95.2%-100000
MyBookie		F
UTEP Miners4.8%1900
MyBookie		B
NCAAF - Sep 4, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Michigan State Spartans77.6%-400
Ceasers		F
Toledo Rockets22.4%360
BetRivers		A
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 7:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Tampa Bay Rays49.3%100
Lowvig		C
Texas Rangers50.7%-104
BetRivers		B
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 7:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kansas City Royals52.0%-113
Betonline.ag		C
Toronto Blue Jays48.0%105
Ceasers		C
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 7:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arizona Diamondbacks45.6%115
Ceasers		C
Houston Astros54.4%-125
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 7:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colorado Rockies46.0%117
BetRivers		B
St. Louis Cardinals54.0%-120
BetUS		C
NCAAF - Sep 4, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Miami Hurricanes93.1%-2500
BetMGM		F
Stanford Cardinal6.9%1400
DraftKings		A-
NCAAF - Sep 4, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Fresno State Bulldogs7.6%1400
BetRivers		A+
USC Trojans92.4%-2000
Bovada		F
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 8:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Yankees51.6%-110
Betonline.ag		C
San Diego Padres48.4%105
Ceasers		B
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 9:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Dodgers71.8%-279
Betonline.ag		C
Washington Nationals28.2%255
BetRivers		A-
MLB - Sep 4, 2026 9:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Athletics33.3%200
Ceasers		B
Seattle Mariners66.7%-220
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 4:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Khamzat Chimaev92.7%-5000
Betonline.ag		F
Tyron Woodley7.3%1200
Betonline.ag		B
EPL - Sep 5, 2026 6:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bournemouth29.4%230
Fanduel		C
Newcastle United44.4%120
BetUS		C
Draw26.2%270
Bovada		C
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 6:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Blackburn Rovers32.6%195
DraftKings		C
Preston North End39.3%149
Lowvig		C
Draw28.1%240
BetMGM		C
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 6:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Charlton Athletic26.7%260
DraftKings		C
Stoke City44.7%115
BetMGM		C
Draw28.6%240
Fanduel		C
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 6:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Lincoln City23.7%320
Fanduel		B
Southampton52.0%-118
Lowvig		F
Draw24.3%300
Lowvig		C
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Derby County12.4%700
Fanduel		B
West Ham United68.3%-240
DraftKings		F
Draw19.3%400
BetMGM		C
EPL - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brentford58.1%-150
DraftKings		C
Sunderland17.8%475
BetRivers		A
Draw24.1%305
Betonline.ag		C
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bolton Wanderers22.5%345
Lowvig		A-
Millwall49.5%-105
DraftKings		C
Draw27.9%240
BetMGM		C
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bristol City24.0%300
BetMGM		C
Burnley50.1%-110
BetMGM		F
Draw25.9%280
Lowvig		B
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cardiff City33.4%188
BetRivers		C
Portsmouth39.9%141
Lowvig		C
Draw26.7%260
DraftKings		C
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Middlesbrough43.7%120
BetMGM		C
Queens Park Rangers29.6%226
Lowvig		C
Draw26.7%265
DraftKings		C
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Norwich City35.8%170
Fanduel		C
Sheffield United37.3%157
Lowvig		C
Draw26.9%260
Lowvig		C
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Watford22.9%320
DraftKings		C
West Bromwich Albion50.7%-110
Fanatics		C
Draw26.4%266
Lowvig		C
EPL - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nottingham Forest39.5%148
Betonline.ag		C
Tottenham Hotspur32.8%195
Fanduel		C
Draw27.8%251
Betonline.ag		C
EPL - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Crystal Palace30.4%220
BetRivers		C
Fulham41.5%135
DraftKings		C
Draw28.1%244
Lowvig		C
EPL - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Coventry City6.2%1600
Fanduel		A
Manchester City82.4%-625
Bovada		F
Draw11.4%800
Betonline.ag		A
EPL - Sep 5, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brighton and Hove Albion48.0%100
Fanduel		C
Leeds United25.1%295
BetRivers		B
Draw26.9%264
Betonline.ag		C
Ligue 1 - France - Sep 5, 2026 10:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Lorient15.3%550
BetRivers		B
RC Lens64.3%-201
Lowvig		F
Draw20.4%376
Lowvig		C
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alabama Crimson Tide94.9%-5000
BetMGM		F
East Carolina Pirates5.1%2200
BetMGM		A+
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nebraska Cornhuskers92.9%-2200
Fanatics		F
Ohio Bobcats7.1%1600
BetRivers		A+
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Miami (OH) RedHawks14.4%650
BetRivers		A+
Pittsburgh Panthers85.6%-750
BetMGM		F
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Lafayette Leopards10.4%900
BetRivers		A
UConn Huskies89.6%-1350
DraftKings		F
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
James Madison Dukes66.5%-220
Betonline.ag		F
Liberty Flames33.5%195
Bovada		B
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Indiana Hoosiers95.2%-100000
MyBookie		F
North Texas Mean Green4.8%1875
MyBookie		B
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Houston Cougars90.6%-1500
Fanatics		F
Oregon State Beavers9.4%1000
BetUS		A
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers9.1%1050
Fanatics		A
West Virginia Mountaineers90.9%-1450
DraftKings		F
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bowling Green Falcons54.2%-126
Fanduel		C
Tarleton State Texans45.8%114
DraftKings		C
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 11:10 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Delphine Benouaich56.6%-138
Bovada		C
Sofia Montenegro43.4%126
Fanduel		C
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ball State Cardinals4.8%1900
MyBookie		B
Ohio State Buckeyes95.2%-100000
MyBookie		F
EPL - Sep 5, 2026 11:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Aston Villa50.5%-113
Betonline.ag		F
Hull City23.4%320
Betonline.ag		B
Draw26.1%276
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 11:35 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Luis Felipe Dias48.7%103
Betonline.ag		C
Matthieu Duclos51.3%-110
Ceasers		C
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 11:45 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kent State Golden Flashes3.4%5000
DraftKings		A+
South Carolina Gamecocks96.6%-100000
DraftKings		F
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 11:45 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Luis Felipe Dias48.6%-102
DraftKings		C
Matthieu Letho51.4%-115
Fanduel		F
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Air Force Falcons95.6%-7000
Fanatics		F
Duquesne Dukes4.4%2500
Fanatics		A
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Iowa State Cyclones96.7%-9000
Fanatics		F
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks3.3%3500
DraftKings		A
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kentucky Wildcats93.2%-2300
Fanduel		F
Youngstown St Penguins6.8%1500
DraftKings		A
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Klaudia Syguła50.2%-103
BetRivers		C
Nora Cornolle49.8%101
Betonline.ag		A-
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 12:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Fabia Sintes47.6%105
Ceasers		C
Michael Aljarouj52.4%-118
DraftKings		C
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 12:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nathaniel Wood71.9%-290
Bovada		F
Pavel Andrusca28.1%247
Betonline.ag		C
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 1:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Rhode Island Rams15.3%575
BetRivers		A
Temple Owls84.7%-700
DraftKings		F
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 1:05 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Modestas Bukauskas33.2%194
BetUS		C
Oumar Sy66.8%-225
DraftKings		F
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 1:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mario Pinto73.2%-300
Fanduel		C
Ryan Spann26.8%270
Bovada		B
Ligue 1 - France - Sep 5, 2026 1:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brest34.7%179
Lowvig		C
Le Havre36.3%167
Lowvig		C
Draw29.0%231
Lowvig		C
Ligue 1 - France - Sep 5, 2026 1:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Le Mans FC22.7%328
Betonline.ag		C
Nice51.6%-115
Betonline.ag		C
Draw25.7%276
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 1:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Felipe Lima64.5%-192
Fanduel		C
Morgan Charriere35.5%181
Betonline.ag		B
Championship - Sep 5, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Swansea City43.6%121
Lowvig		C
Wrexham AFC28.8%240
BetMGM		C
Draw27.6%255
DraftKings		C
MMA - Sep 5, 2026 2:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Losene Keita75.8%-350
Betonline.ag		C
Muhammadjon Naimov24.2%310
DraftKings		B
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Marshall Thundering Herd7.0%1400
DraftKings		A
Penn State Nittany Lions93.0%-2273
MyBookie		F
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Navy Midshipmen97.4%-10000
Fanduel		C
Towson Tigers2.6%4000
DraftKings		A-
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Texas Longhorns95.9%-8000
Fanatics		F
Texas State Bobcats4.1%2800
Fanatics		A
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros4.4%2800
Fanatics		A+
UTSA Roadrunners95.6%-7000
Fanduel		F
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Duke Blue Devils72.8%-300
BetMGM		F
Tulane Green Wave27.2%270
Bovada		A-
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Charlotte 49ers90.9%-1650
DraftKings		F
Citadel Bulldogs9.1%1050
Fanatics		A
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston College Eagles27.9%255
MyBookie		B
Cincinnati Bearcats72.1%-295
Ceasers		F
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boise State Broncos6.9%1500
Fanduel		A
Oregon Ducks93.1%-2400
DraftKings		F
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Auburn Tigers71.5%-285
Fanatics		F
Baylor Bears28.5%240
Fanduel		C
NCAAF - Sep 5, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Appalachian State Mountaineers88.7%-1100
DraftKings		F
Maine Black Bears11.3%810
Fanduel		A