Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

WNBA - Jun 5, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Wings52.0%-112
Fanduel		C
Los Angeles Sparks48.0%105
BetMGM		C
MMA - Jun 6, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Igor Severino69.2%-300
Betonline.ag		F
Zhalgas Zhumagulov30.8%200
Betonline.ag		F
FIFA World Cup - Jun 11, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mexico66.9%-225
BetMGM		F
South Africa11.5%800
Fanduel		A
Draw21.6%365
Betonline.ag		A-
WNBA - Jun 5, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Phoenix Mercury44.9%119
MyBookie		C
Portland Fire55.1%-130
Fanduel		C
MMA - Jun 6, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Lazar Todev44.7%115
Betonline.ag		C
Martin Buday55.3%-135
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 6, 2026 4:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Iwo Baraniewski76.9%-395
DraftKings		F
Junior Tafa23.1%330
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Jun 6, 2026 4:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Belal Muhammad50.2%-105
BetUS		C
Gabriel Bonfim49.8%-104
Fanduel		C
MMA - Jun 6, 2026 4:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brendan Allen63.3%-188
Fanduel		C
Edmen Shahbazyan36.7%170
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Jun 6, 2026 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alessandro Costa81.7%-515
Betonline.ag		F
Matt Schnell18.3%470
Fanduel		A+
MMA - Jun 5, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Isao Kobayashi40.4%140
Betonline.ag		C
Yusuke Yachi59.6%-160
Betonline.ag		C

Upcoming Events Today:

MLB - Jun 5, 2026 1:21 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Cubs59.8%-160
Betonline.ag		C
San Francisco Giants40.2%145
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 5, 2026 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Perry Stargel31.7%205
Betonline.ag		C
Shimon Smotritsky68.3%-240
Betonline.ag		F
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 5:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago White Sox37.4%162
Betonline.ag		C
Philadelphia Phillies62.6%-180
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 5:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Detroit Tigers45.1%117
BetUS		C
Seattle Mariners54.9%-128
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 6:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Red Sox43.1%127
Betonline.ag		C
New York Yankees56.9%-140
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 6:08 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Baltimore Orioles41.9%135
BetRivers		C
Toronto Blue Jays58.1%-146
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 6:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Miami Marlins43.8%123
Betonline.ag		C
Tampa Bay Rays56.2%-136
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 6:16 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Braves56.9%-140
Betonline.ag		C
Pittsburgh Pirates43.1%127
Betonline.ag		C
WNBA - Jun 5, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Sky71.4%-285
DraftKings		F
Connecticut Sun28.6%245
BetUS		B
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 7:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Athletics50.5%-107
Betonline.ag		C
Houston Astros49.5%-103
BetRivers		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 7:16 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cincinnati Reds43.7%122
Bovada		C
St. Louis Cardinals56.3%-133
Lowvig		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 7:16 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kansas City Royals48.7%100
Fanduel		C
Minnesota Twins51.3%-110
Lowvig		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 7:16 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cleveland Guardians55.4%-130
BetUS		C
Texas Rangers44.6%120
Lowvig		C
NBA - Jun 5, 2026 7:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Knicks33.3%195
BetRivers		C
San Antonio Spurs66.7%-218
DraftKings		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 7:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colorado Rockies41.7%134
Lowvig		C
Milwaukee Brewers58.3%-148
Lowvig		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 8:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arizona Diamondbacks54.9%-128
Lowvig		C
Washington Nationals45.1%117
BetUS		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 8:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Mets45.6%114
BetUS		C
San Diego Padres54.4%-125
Betonline.ag		C
WNBA - Jun 5, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Wings52.0%-112
Fanduel		C
Los Angeles Sparks48.0%105
BetMGM		C
MMA - Jun 5, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Isao Kobayashi40.4%140
Betonline.ag		C
Yusuke Yachi59.6%-160
Betonline.ag		C
WNBA - Jun 5, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Phoenix Mercury44.9%119
MyBookie		C
Portland Fire55.1%-130
Fanduel		C
MLB - Jun 5, 2026 9:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Angels36.1%169
Betonline.ag		C
Los Angeles Dodgers63.9%-188
Betonline.ag		C