Aston Villa vs Newcastle United

EPL - April 19, 2025 4:30 PM

Aston Villa have a 40.7% of winning.
Newcastle United have a 33.1% of winning.
A Draw has a 26.3% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston VillaNewcastle United
40.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings13542.6%C

Aston Villa
DraftKings135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM13542.6%C

Aston Villa
BetMGM135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada13542.6%C

Aston Villa
Bovada135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS13542.6%C

Aston Villa
BetUS135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel13043.5%F

Aston Villa
130
Break Even43.5%
Probability40.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie12943.7%F

Aston Villa
MyBookie129
Break Even43.7%
Probability40.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 43.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers12544.4%F

Aston Villa
BetRivers125
Break Even44.4%
Probability40.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
33.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers19533.9%C

Newcastle United
BetRivers195
Break Even33.9%
Probability33.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 33.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel19034.5%C

Newcastle United
190
Break Even34.5%
Probability33.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada18535.1%C

Newcastle United
Bovada185
Break Even35.1%
Probability33.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 35.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS18535.1%C

Newcastle United
BetUS185
Break Even35.1%
Probability33.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 35.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings18035.7%F

Newcastle United
DraftKings180
Break Even35.7%
Probability33.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM18035.7%F

Newcastle United
BetMGM180
Break Even35.7%
Probability33.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie18035.7%F

Newcastle United
MyBookie180
Break Even35.7%
Probability33.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
26.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel27027.0%C

Draw
270
Break Even27.0%
Probability26.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada26527.4%C

Draw
Bovada265
Break Even27.4%
Probability26.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS26527.4%C

Draw
BetUS265
Break Even27.4%
Probability26.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM26027.8%C

Draw
BetMGM260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers25528.2%C

Draw
BetRivers255
Break Even28.2%
Probability26.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings25028.6%F

Draw
DraftKings250
Break Even28.6%
Probability26.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie25028.6%F

Draw
MyBookie250
Break Even28.6%
Probability26.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

41.4% chance that Aston Villa win by 0.5 or more points.
58.6% chance that Newcastle United win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (-0.5)Newcastle United (0.5)
41.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie12444.6%F

Aston Villa (-0.5)
MyBookie124
Break Even44.6%
Probability41.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
58.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-17263.2%F

Newcastle United (0.5)
MyBookie-172
Break Even63.2%
Probability58.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 63.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

57.8% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
42.2% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
57.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-15761.1%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-157
Break Even61.1%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-16562.3%F

Over (2.5)
MyBookie-165
Break Even62.3%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 62.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers12544.4%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie11945.7%F

Under (2.5)
MyBookie119
Break Even45.7%
Probability42.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.