Newcastle United vs Manchester United

EPL - April 13, 2025 3:30 PM

Manchester United have a 18.4% of winning.
Newcastle United have a 58.7% of winning.
A Draw has a 22.9% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester UnitedNewcastle United
18.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig44518.3%A-

Manchester United
445
Break Even18.3%
Probability18.4%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 18.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.4%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Betonline.ag44518.3%A-

Manchester United
Betonline.ag445
Break Even18.3%
Probability18.4%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 18.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.4%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
BetRivers42519.0%C

Manchester United
BetRivers425
Break Even19.0%
Probability18.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 19.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel42019.2%C

Manchester United
420
Break Even19.2%
Probability18.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 19.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS41419.5%C

Manchester United
BetUS414
Break Even19.5%
Probability18.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 19.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie41019.6%C

Manchester United
MyBookie410
Break Even19.6%
Probability18.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 19.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings40020.0%C

Manchester United
DraftKings400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
58.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-15861.2%F

Newcastle United
-158
Break Even61.2%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 61.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-15861.2%F

Newcastle United
Betonline.ag-158
Break Even61.2%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 61.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-15961.4%F

Newcastle United
BetRivers-159
Break Even61.4%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 61.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-16061.5%F

Newcastle United
DraftKings-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-16061.5%F

Newcastle United
BetMGM-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-16061.5%F

Newcastle United
Bovada-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-16161.7%F

Newcastle United
MyBookie-161
Break Even61.7%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 61.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
22.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada33023.3%B

Draw
Bovada330
Break Even23.3%
Probability22.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel32023.8%C

Draw
320
Break Even23.8%
Probability22.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings32023.8%C

Draw
DraftKings320
Break Even23.8%
Probability22.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie32023.8%C

Draw
MyBookie320
Break Even23.8%
Probability22.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig31724.0%C

Draw
317
Break Even24.0%
Probability22.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag31724.0%C

Draw
Betonline.ag317
Break Even24.0%
Probability22.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS31424.2%C

Draw
BetUS314
Break Even24.2%
Probability22.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

52.6% chance that Manchester United win or are within 1 points of winning.
47.4% chance that Newcastle United win by 1 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Manchester United (1)Newcastle United (-1)
52.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11854.1%C

Manchester United (1)
-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability52.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United (1) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11854.1%C

Manchester United (1)
Betonline.ag-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability52.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United (1) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-12255.0%F

Manchester United (1)
Bovada-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United (1) spread must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-12555.6%F

Manchester United (1)
MyBookie-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United (1) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-12555.6%F

Manchester United (1)
BetUS-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester United (1) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS10548.8%C

Newcastle United (-1)
BetUS105
Break Even48.8%
Probability47.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-1) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada10249.5%F

Newcastle United (-1)
Bovada102
Break Even49.5%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-1) spread must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig10249.5%F

Newcastle United (-1)
102
Break Even49.5%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-1) spread must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie10249.5%F

Newcastle United (-1)
MyBookie102
Break Even49.5%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-1) spread must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag10249.5%F

Newcastle United (-1)
Betonline.ag102
Break Even49.5%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-1) spread must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

58.7% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
41.3% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
58.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-16261.8%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-162
Break Even61.8%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
41.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers13043.5%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers130
Break Even43.5%
Probability41.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

44.9% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
55.1% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
44.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie11346.9%F

Over (3)
MyBookie113
Break Even46.9%
Probability44.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 46.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS11346.9%F

Over (3)
BetUS113
Break Even46.9%
Probability44.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 46.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
55.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-13357.1%F

Under (3)
BetUS-133
Break Even57.1%
Probability55.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 57.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-13858.0%F

Under (3)
MyBookie-138
Break Even58.0%
Probability55.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 58.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.