Southampton vs Aston Villa

EPL - April 12, 2025 2:00 PM

Aston Villa have a 62.3% of winning.
Southampton have a 16.6% of winning.
A Draw has a 21.1% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston VillaSouthampton
62.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-17864.0%C

Aston Villa
-178
Break Even64.0%
Probability62.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 64.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-17864.0%C

Aston Villa
Betonline.ag-178
Break Even64.0%
Probability62.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 64.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-18564.9%F

Aston Villa
DraftKings-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-18665.0%F

Aston Villa
MyBookie-186
Break Even65.0%
Probability62.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 65.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-19065.5%F

Aston Villa
Bovada-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-19065.5%F

Aston Villa
Fanatics-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-19365.9%F

Aston Villa
BetUS-193
Break Even65.9%
Probability62.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 65.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
16.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel50016.7%B

Southampton
500
Break Even16.7%
Probability16.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetRivers50016.7%B

Southampton
BetRivers500
Break Even16.7%
Probability16.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS49016.9%B

Southampton
BetUS490
Break Even16.9%
Probability16.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 16.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Lowvig48517.1%B

Southampton
485
Break Even17.1%
Probability16.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 17.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag48517.1%B

Southampton
Betonline.ag485
Break Even17.1%
Probability16.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 17.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanatics47517.4%C

Southampton
Fanatics475
Break Even17.4%
Probability16.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 17.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings45018.2%C

Southampton
DraftKings450
Break Even18.2%
Probability16.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton must be more likely than 18.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Draw
21.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada37021.3%B

Draw
Bovada370
Break Even21.3%
Probability21.1%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetRivers36021.7%C

Draw
BetRivers360
Break Even21.7%
Probability21.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie36021.7%C

Draw
MyBookie360
Break Even21.7%
Probability21.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings35022.2%C

Draw
DraftKings350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics35022.2%C

Draw
Fanatics350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig34722.4%C

Draw
347
Break Even22.4%
Probability21.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag34722.4%C

Draw
Betonline.ag347
Break Even22.4%
Probability21.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

51.3% chance that Aston Villa win by 1 or more points.
48.7% chance that Southampton win or are within 1 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (-1)Southampton (1)
51.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11353.1%C

Aston Villa (-1)
-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability51.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-1) spread must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11353.1%C

Aston Villa (-1)
Betonline.ag-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability51.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-1) spread must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11553.5%F

Aston Villa (-1)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-1) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11854.1%F

Aston Villa (-1)
Bovada-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-1) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11854.1%F

Aston Villa (-1)
MyBookie-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-1) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-10250.5%C

Southampton (1)
Bovada-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability48.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (1) spread must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-10350.7%F

Southampton (1)
-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (1) spread must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10350.7%F

Southampton (1)
Betonline.ag-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (1) spread must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-10451.0%F

Southampton (1)
MyBookie-104
Break Even51.0%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (1) spread must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-10551.2%F

Southampton (1)
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Southampton (1) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

59.9% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
40.1% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
59.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-18564.9%F

Over (2.5)
BetMGM-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability59.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
40.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM13043.5%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM130
Break Even43.5%
Probability40.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10851.9%C

Over (3)
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10851.9%C

Over (3)
Betonline.ag-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Over (3)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

Over (3)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Over (3)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10851.9%C

Under (3)
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10851.9%C

Under (3)
Betonline.ag-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Under (3)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Under (3)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11152.6%F

Under (3)
MyBookie-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

39.0% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
61.0% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
39.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers14341.2%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers143
Break Even41.2%
Probability39.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 41.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
61.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-18064.3%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability61.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 61.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.