Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

EPL - April 5, 2025 4:30 PM

Aston Villa have a 44.5% of winning.
Nottingham Forest have a 27.4% of winning.
A Draw has a 28.1% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Nottingham Forest

44.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Aston Villa

	116
Break Even	46.3%
Probability	44.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

Betonline.ag	116
Break Even	46.3%
Probability	44.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	44.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Aston Villa

DraftKings	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	44.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Aston Villa

BetMGM	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	44.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Aston Villa

BetUS	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	44.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Aston Villa

Fanatics	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	44.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

27.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Nottingham Forest

BetRivers	255
Break Even	28.2%
Probability	27.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Nottingham Forest

	255
Break Even	28.2%
Probability	27.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Nottingham Forest

Betonline.ag	255
Break Even	28.2%
Probability	27.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Nottingham Forest

	250
Break Even	28.6%
Probability	27.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Nottingham Forest

MyBookie	248
Break Even	28.7%
Probability	27.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 28.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Nottingham Forest

BetUS	246
Break Even	28.9%
Probability	27.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 28.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Nottingham Forest

Bovada	245
Break Even	29.0%
Probability	27.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

28.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Draw

DraftKings	245
Break Even	29.0%
Probability	28.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Bovada	245
Break Even	29.0%
Probability	28.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	245
Break Even	29.0%
Probability	28.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Betonline.ag	245
Break Even	29.0%
Probability	28.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

MyBookie	242
Break Even	29.2%
Probability	28.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetRivers	240
Break Even	29.4%
Probability	28.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetUS	235
Break Even	29.9%
Probability	28.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

45.0% chance that Aston Villa win by 0.5 or more points.
55.0% chance that Nottingham Forest win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (-0.5)

Nottingham Forest (0.5)

45.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Aston Villa (-0.5)

BetUS	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	45.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa (-0.5)

MyBookie	111
Break Even	47.4%
Probability	45.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

55.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Nottingham Forest (0.5)

MyBookie	-135
Break Even	57.4%
Probability	55.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest (0.5) spread must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Nottingham Forest (0.5)

BetUS	-135
Break Even	57.4%
Probability	55.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest (0.5) spread must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

49.5% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
50.5% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

49.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (2.5)

Bovada	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (2.5)

BetRivers	-106
Break Even	51.5%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (2.5)

MyBookie	-106
Break Even	51.5%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (2.5)

	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

Betonline.ag	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetUS	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetMGM	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (2.5)

	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (2.5)

Betonline.ag	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (2.5)

BetUS	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (2.5)

Bovada	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

MyBookie	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

BetRivers	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

BetMGM	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.