Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett

MMA - April 13, 2025 3:45 AM

Michael Chandler have a 40.5% of winning.
Paddy Pimblett have a 59.5% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Michael ChandlerPaddy Pimblett
40.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag14341.2%C

Michael Chandler
Betonline.ag143
Break Even41.2%
Probability40.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Michael Chandler must be more likely than 41.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel14241.3%C

Michael Chandler
142
Break Even41.3%
Probability40.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Michael Chandler must be more likely than 41.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings14041.7%C

Michael Chandler
DraftKings140
Break Even41.7%
Probability40.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Michael Chandler must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers14041.7%C

Michael Chandler
Ceasers140
Break Even41.7%
Probability40.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Michael Chandler must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM13542.6%F

Michael Chandler
BetMGM135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Michael Chandler must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers12843.9%F

Michael Chandler
BetRivers128
Break Even43.9%
Probability40.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Michael Chandler must be more likely than 43.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
59.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetRivers-15260.3%C

Paddy Pimblett
BetRivers-152
Break Even60.3%
Probability59.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 60.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-16061.5%C

Paddy Pimblett
BetMGM-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability59.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-16362.0%F

Paddy Pimblett
Betonline.ag-163
Break Even62.0%
Probability59.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 62.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-16562.3%F

Paddy Pimblett
Ceasers-165
Break Even62.3%
Probability59.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 62.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-16662.4%F

Paddy Pimblett
DraftKings-166
Break Even62.4%
Probability59.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 62.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-16862.7%F

Paddy Pimblett
-168
Break Even62.7%
Probability59.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 62.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

48.0% chance that Michael Chandler win or are within 5.5 points of winning.
52.0% chance that Paddy Pimblett win by 5.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Michael Chandler (5.5)Paddy Pimblett (-5.5)
48.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-10551.2%F

Michael Chandler (5.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Michael Chandler (5.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-12555.6%F

Paddy Pimblett (-5.5)
DraftKings-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

68.4% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
31.6% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
68.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-26072.2%F

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag-260
Break Even72.2%
Probability68.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 72.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
31.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag20033.3%C

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag200
Break Even33.3%
Probability31.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

48.0% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
52.0% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
48.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-10551.2%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-12555.6%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.