Diego Lopes vs Alex Volkanovski

MMA - April 13, 2025 4:15 AM

Alex Volkanovski have a 58.9% of winning.
Diego Lopes have a 41.1% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Alex VolkanovskiDiego Lopes
58.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-15560.8%C

Alex Volkanovski
Ceasers-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability58.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-15560.8%C

Alex Volkanovski
BetMGM-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability58.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-15660.9%F

Alex Volkanovski
-156
Break Even60.9%
Probability58.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 60.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-15660.9%F

Alex Volkanovski
Betonline.ag-156
Break Even60.9%
Probability58.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 60.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-15761.1%F

Alex Volkanovski
BetRivers-157
Break Even61.1%
Probability58.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 61.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-16261.8%F

Alex Volkanovski
DraftKings-162
Break Even61.8%
Probability58.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 61.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
41.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag14640.7%A

Diego Lopes
Betonline.ag146
Break Even40.7%
Probability41.1%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 40.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.1%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
DraftKings13642.4%C

Diego Lopes
DraftKings136
Break Even42.4%
Probability41.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 42.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel13243.1%C

Diego Lopes
132
Break Even43.1%
Probability41.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 43.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers13243.1%C

Diego Lopes
BetRivers132
Break Even43.1%
Probability41.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 43.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers13043.5%F

Diego Lopes
Ceasers130
Break Even43.5%
Probability41.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM13043.5%F

Diego Lopes
BetMGM130
Break Even43.5%
Probability41.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

42.5% chance that Alex Volkanovski win by 5.5 or more points.
57.5% chance that Diego Lopes win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Alex Volkanovski (-5.5)Diego Lopes (5.5)
42.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings12045.5%F

Alex Volkanovski (-5.5)
DraftKings120
Break Even45.5%
Probability42.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
57.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-16061.5%F

Diego Lopes (5.5)
DraftKings-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability57.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes (5.5) spread must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

60.0% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
40.0% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
60.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-15761.1%C

Over (3.5)
Betonline.ag-157
Break Even61.1%
Probability60.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (3.5) must be more likely than 61.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-17563.6%F

Over (3.5)
DraftKings-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability60.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (3.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
40.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag14740.5%C

Under (3.5)
Betonline.ag147
Break Even40.5%
Probability40.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (3.5) must be more likely than 40.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings13542.6%F

Under (3.5)
DraftKings135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (3.5) must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.