Pedro Falcao vs Victor Henry

MMA - April 5, 2025 11:15 PM

Pedro Falcao have a 35.4% of winning.
Victor Henry have a 64.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Pedro FalcaoVictor Henry
35.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel17636.2%C

Pedro Falcao
176
Break Even36.2%
Probability35.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Pedro Falcao must be more likely than 36.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers17536.4%C

Pedro Falcao
Ceasers175
Break Even36.4%
Probability35.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Pedro Falcao must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag17336.6%C

Pedro Falcao
Betonline.ag173
Break Even36.6%
Probability35.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Pedro Falcao must be more likely than 36.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers17037.0%C

Pedro Falcao
BetRivers170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Pedro Falcao must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM17037.0%C

Pedro Falcao
BetMGM170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Pedro Falcao must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS17037.0%C

Pedro Falcao
BetUS170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Pedro Falcao must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings16437.9%F

Pedro Falcao
DraftKings164
Break Even37.9%
Probability35.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Pedro Falcao must be more likely than 37.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
64.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-19866.4%C

Victor Henry
DraftKings-198
Break Even66.4%
Probability64.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Victor Henry must be more likely than 66.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-20367.0%F

Victor Henry
Betonline.ag-203
Break Even67.0%
Probability64.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Victor Henry must be more likely than 67.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-20567.2%F

Victor Henry
BetUS-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability64.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Victor Henry must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-21067.7%F

Victor Henry
-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability64.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Victor Henry must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-21067.7%F

Victor Henry
Ceasers-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability64.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Victor Henry must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-21067.7%F

Victor Henry
BetMGM-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability64.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Victor Henry must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-21568.3%F

Victor Henry
BetRivers-215
Break Even68.3%
Probability64.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Victor Henry must be more likely than 68.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

57.0% chance that Pedro Falcao win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
43.0% chance that Victor Henry win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Pedro Falcao (3.5)Victor Henry (-3.5)
57.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-16061.5%F

Pedro Falcao (3.5)
DraftKings-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability57.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Pedro Falcao (3.5) spread must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
43.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings11546.5%F

Victor Henry (-3.5)
DraftKings115
Break Even46.5%
Probability43.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Victor Henry (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

69.4% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
30.6% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
69.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-26572.6%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-265
Break Even72.6%
Probability69.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 72.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-26572.6%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-265
Break Even72.6%
Probability69.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 72.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-28073.7%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-280
Break Even73.7%
Probability69.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 73.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
30.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS21831.4%C

Under (2.5)
BetUS218
Break Even31.4%
Probability30.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 31.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings21032.3%C

Under (2.5)
DraftKings210
Break Even32.3%
Probability30.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag20532.8%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag205
Break Even32.8%
Probability30.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 32.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.