Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy

MMA - April 6, 2025 3:45 AM

Josh Emmett have a 26.4% of winning.
Lerone Murphy have a 73.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Josh EmmettLerone Murphy
26.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag27526.7%B

Josh Emmett
Betonline.ag275
Break Even26.7%
Probability26.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Josh Emmett must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings27027.0%C

Josh Emmett
DraftKings270
Break Even27.0%
Probability26.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Josh Emmett must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS27027.0%C

Josh Emmett
BetUS270
Break Even27.0%
Probability26.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Josh Emmett must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel26027.8%C

Josh Emmett
260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Josh Emmett must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers26027.8%C

Josh Emmett
Ceasers260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Josh Emmett must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM26027.8%C

Josh Emmett
BetMGM260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Josh Emmett must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers25028.6%F

Josh Emmett
BetRivers250
Break Even28.6%
Probability26.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Josh Emmett must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
73.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-32076.2%F

Lerone Murphy
-320
Break Even76.2%
Probability73.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lerone Murphy must be more likely than 76.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-32576.5%F

Lerone Murphy
BetMGM-325
Break Even76.5%
Probability73.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lerone Murphy must be more likely than 76.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-33076.7%F

Lerone Murphy
Ceasers-330
Break Even76.7%
Probability73.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lerone Murphy must be more likely than 76.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-33577.0%F

Lerone Murphy
BetRivers-335
Break Even77.0%
Probability73.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lerone Murphy must be more likely than 77.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-33577.0%F

Lerone Murphy
Betonline.ag-335
Break Even77.0%
Probability73.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lerone Murphy must be more likely than 77.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-33577.0%F

Lerone Murphy
BetUS-335
Break Even77.0%
Probability73.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lerone Murphy must be more likely than 77.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-34077.3%F

Lerone Murphy
DraftKings-340
Break Even77.3%
Probability73.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lerone Murphy must be more likely than 77.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

46.5% chance that Josh Emmett win or are within 5.5 points of winning.
53.5% chance that Lerone Murphy win by 5.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Josh Emmett (5.5)Lerone Murphy (-5.5)
46.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings10050.0%F

Josh Emmett (5.5)
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Josh Emmett (5.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
53.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Lerone Murphy (-5.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lerone Murphy (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

56.6% chance that the total final score will be over 4.5 points.
43.4% chance that the total final score will be under 4.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (4.5)Under (4.5)
56.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-14559.2%F

Over (4.5)
Betonline.ag-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability56.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-14559.2%F

Over (4.5)
BetUS-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability56.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-15460.6%F

Over (4.5)
DraftKings-154
Break Even60.6%
Probability56.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 60.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
43.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetUS12245.0%C

Under (4.5)
BetUS122
Break Even45.0%
Probability43.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings12045.5%F

Under (4.5)
DraftKings120
Break Even45.5%
Probability43.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag11546.5%F

Under (4.5)
Betonline.ag115
Break Even46.5%
Probability43.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.