Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL - October 7, 2026 6:40 PM

Pittsburgh Penguins have a 42.1% of winning.
Washington Capitals have a 57.9% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Washington Capitals

42.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

130

43.5%

Pittsburgh Penguins

DraftKings	130
Break Even	43.5%
Probability	42.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Pittsburgh Penguins must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Ceasers

125

44.4%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Ceasers	125
Break Even	44.4%
Probability	42.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Pittsburgh Penguins must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

57.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Ceasers

-150

60.0%

Washington Capitals

Ceasers	-150
Break Even	60.0%
Probability	57.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Washington Capitals must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

DraftKings

-155

60.8%

Washington Capitals

DraftKings	-155
Break Even	60.8%
Probability	57.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Washington Capitals must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

62.4% chance that Pittsburgh Penguins win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
37.6% chance that Washington Capitals win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Pittsburgh Penguins (1.5)

Washington Capitals (-1.5)

62.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Ceasers

-180

64.3%

Pittsburgh Penguins (1.5)

Ceasers	-180
Break Even	64.3%
Probability	62.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Pittsburgh Penguins (1.5) spread must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

-198

66.4%

Pittsburgh Penguins (1.5)

DraftKings	-198
Break Even	66.4%
Probability	62.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Pittsburgh Penguins (1.5) spread must be more likely than 66.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

37.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

164

37.9%

Washington Capitals (-1.5)

DraftKings	164
Break Even	37.9%
Probability	37.6%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Washington Capitals (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 37.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Ceasers

145

40.8%

Washington Capitals (-1.5)

Ceasers	145
Break Even	40.8%
Probability	37.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Washington Capitals (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 40.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

44.9% chance that the total final score will be over 6.5 points.
55.1% chance that the total final score will be under 6.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (6.5)

Under (6.5)

44.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

114

46.7%

Over (6.5)

DraftKings	114
Break Even	46.7%
Probability	44.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

55.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

-135

57.4%

Under (6.5)

DraftKings	-135
Break Even	57.4%
Probability	55.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.