Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals

NHL - October 3, 2026 6:10 PM

Tampa Bay Lightning have a 56.8% of winning.
Washington Capitals have a 43.2% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Tampa Bay LightningWashington Capitals
56.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-14058.3%C

Tampa Bay Lightning
Ceasers-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability56.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-14759.5%F

Tampa Bay Lightning
Bovada-147
Break Even59.5%
Probability56.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning must be more likely than 59.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-14859.7%F

Tampa Bay Lightning
DraftKings-148
Break Even59.7%
Probability56.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
43.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada12744.1%C

Washington Capitals
Bovada127
Break Even44.1%
Probability43.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Washington Capitals must be more likely than 44.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings12444.6%C

Washington Capitals
DraftKings124
Break Even44.6%
Probability43.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Washington Capitals must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers11546.5%F

Washington Capitals
Ceasers115
Break Even46.5%
Probability43.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Washington Capitals must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

35.9% chance that Tampa Bay Lightning win by 1.5 or more points.
64.1% chance that Washington Capitals win or are within 1.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)Washington Capitals (1.5)
35.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada17336.6%C

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
Bovada173
Break Even36.6%
Probability35.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 36.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings17037.0%C

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
DraftKings170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers16038.5%F

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
Ceasers160
Break Even38.5%
Probability35.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
64.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-19566.1%C

Washington Capitals (1.5)
Ceasers-195
Break Even66.1%
Probability64.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Washington Capitals (1.5) spread must be more likely than 66.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-20567.2%F

Washington Capitals (1.5)
DraftKings-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability64.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Washington Capitals (1.5) spread must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-20567.2%F

Washington Capitals (1.5)
Bovada-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability64.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Washington Capitals (1.5) spread must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

55.2% chance that the total final score will be over 5.5 points.
44.8% chance that the total final score will be under 5.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (5.5)Under (5.5)
55.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Over (5.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (5.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-13557.4%F

Over (5.5)
Bovada-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (5.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada11546.5%C

Under (5.5)
Bovada115
Break Even46.5%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (5.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings11446.7%C

Under (5.5)
DraftKings114
Break Even46.7%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (5.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.