Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens

NHL - September 29, 2026 6:10 PM

Montréal Canadiens have a 49.4% of winning.
Toronto Maple Leafs have a 50.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Montréal Canadiens

Toronto Maple Leafs

49.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Montréal Canadiens

	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Montréal Canadiens

DraftKings	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Montréal Canadiens

Ceasers	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Montréal Canadiens

BetRivers	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Montréal Canadiens

Bovada	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Montréal Canadiens

	-109
Break Even	52.2%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Montréal Canadiens

Betonline.ag	-109
Break Even	52.2%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Montréal Canadiens

BetMGM	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Toronto Maple Leafs

	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Betonline.ag	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs

BetMGM	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs

	-114
Break Even	53.3%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs

DraftKings	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Ceasers	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs

BetRivers	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Bovada	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

68.5% chance that Montréal Canadiens win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
31.5% chance that Toronto Maple Leafs win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Montréal Canadiens (1.5)

Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5)

68.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Montréal Canadiens (1.5)

Bovada	-245
Break Even	71.0%
Probability	68.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens (1.5) spread must be more likely than 71.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Montréal Canadiens (1.5)

DraftKings	-250
Break Even	71.4%
Probability	68.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens (1.5) spread must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Montréal Canadiens (1.5)

Ceasers	-250
Break Even	71.4%
Probability	68.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens (1.5) spread must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Montréal Canadiens (1.5)

BetMGM	-250
Break Even	71.4%
Probability	68.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens (1.5) spread must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Montréal Canadiens (1.5)

	-260
Break Even	72.2%
Probability	68.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens (1.5) spread must be more likely than 72.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Montréal Canadiens (1.5)

BetRivers	-265
Break Even	72.6%
Probability	68.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Montréal Canadiens (1.5) spread must be more likely than 72.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

31.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5)

	205
Break Even	32.8%
Probability	31.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 32.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5)

DraftKings	205
Break Even	32.8%
Probability	31.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 32.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5)

Ceasers	205
Break Even	32.8%
Probability	31.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 32.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5)

Bovada	205
Break Even	32.8%
Probability	31.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 32.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5)

BetRivers	200
Break Even	33.3%
Probability	31.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5)

BetMGM	200
Break Even	33.3%
Probability	31.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Totals:

52.2% chance that the total final score will be over 6 points.
47.8% chance that the total final score will be under 6 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (6)

Under (6)

52.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (6)

BetMGM	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	52.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (6) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

47.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (6)

BetMGM	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	47.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (6) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

46.8% chance that the total final score will be over 6.5 points.
53.2% chance that the total final score will be under 6.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (6.5)

Under (6.5)

46.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (6.5)

BetRivers	107
Break Even	48.3%
Probability	46.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 48.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (6.5)

	106
Break Even	48.5%
Probability	46.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (6.5)

DraftKings	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	46.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (6.5)

Ceasers	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	46.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (6.5)

Bovada	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	46.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (6.5)

	102
Break Even	49.5%
Probability	46.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (6.5)

Betonline.ag	102
Break Even	49.5%
Probability	46.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

53.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (6.5)

	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	53.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (6.5)

Betonline.ag	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	53.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (6.5)

DraftKings	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	53.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (6.5)

Ceasers	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	53.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (6.5)

Bovada	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	53.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (6.5)

	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	53.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (6.5)

BetRivers	-136
Break Even	57.6%
Probability	53.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 57.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.