Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres

NHL - February 28, 2026 6:00 PM

Buffalo Sabres have a 32.1% of winning.
Tampa Bay Lightning have a 67.9% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Buffalo SabresTampa Bay Lightning
32.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada21032.3%B

Buffalo Sabres
Bovada210
Break Even32.3%
Probability32.1%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS21032.3%B

Buffalo Sabres
BetUS210
Break Even32.3%
Probability32.1%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers20532.8%C

Buffalo Sabres
Ceasers205
Break Even32.8%
Probability32.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres must be more likely than 32.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings20033.3%C

Buffalo Sabres
DraftKings200
Break Even33.3%
Probability32.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig19833.6%C

Buffalo Sabres
198
Break Even33.6%
Probability32.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres must be more likely than 33.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag19833.6%C

Buffalo Sabres
Betonline.ag198
Break Even33.6%
Probability32.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres must be more likely than 33.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie19633.8%C

Buffalo Sabres
MyBookie196
Break Even33.8%
Probability32.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres must be more likely than 33.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
67.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-22869.5%C

Tampa Bay Lightning
-228
Break Even69.5%
Probability67.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning must be more likely than 69.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-22869.5%C

Tampa Bay Lightning
Betonline.ag-228
Break Even69.5%
Probability67.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning must be more likely than 69.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-23570.1%F

Tampa Bay Lightning
BetMGM-235
Break Even70.1%
Probability67.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning must be more likely than 70.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-24070.6%F

Tampa Bay Lightning
-240
Break Even70.6%
Probability67.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning must be more likely than 70.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-24070.6%F

Tampa Bay Lightning
Fanatics-240
Break Even70.6%
Probability67.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning must be more likely than 70.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-24571.0%F

Tampa Bay Lightning
DraftKings-245
Break Even71.0%
Probability67.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning must be more likely than 71.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-24571.0%F

Tampa Bay Lightning
BetRivers-245
Break Even71.0%
Probability67.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning must be more likely than 71.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

52.7% chance that Buffalo Sabres win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
47.3% chance that Tampa Bay Lightning win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Buffalo Sabres (1.5)Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
52.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-11753.9%C

Buffalo Sabres (1.5)
Bovada-117
Break Even53.9%
Probability52.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres (1.5) spread must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11854.1%C

Buffalo Sabres (1.5)
-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability52.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres (1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11854.1%C

Buffalo Sabres (1.5)
Betonline.ag-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability52.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres (1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-12054.5%C

Buffalo Sabres (1.5)
BetMGM-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres (1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-12054.5%C

Buffalo Sabres (1.5)
BetUS-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres (1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics-12054.5%C

Buffalo Sabres (1.5)
Fanatics-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres (1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-12555.6%F

Buffalo Sabres (1.5)
DraftKings-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Sabres (1.5) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel11047.6%B

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
110
Break Even47.6%
Probability47.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetRivers10748.3%C

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
BetRivers107
Break Even48.3%
Probability47.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 48.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings10548.8%C

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
DraftKings105
Break Even48.8%
Probability47.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers10548.8%C

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
Ceasers105
Break Even48.8%
Probability47.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie10349.3%C

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
MyBookie103
Break Even49.3%
Probability47.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 49.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM10050.0%F

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
BetMGM100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS10050.0%F

Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)
BetUS100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

47.7% chance that the total final score will be over 6.5 points.
52.3% chance that the total final score will be under 6.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (6.5)Under (6.5)
47.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel10449.0%C

Over (6.5)
104
Break Even49.0%
Probability47.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig10349.3%C

Over (6.5)
103
Break Even49.3%
Probability47.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 49.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10349.3%C

Over (6.5)
Betonline.ag103
Break Even49.3%
Probability47.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 49.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings10050.0%F

Over (6.5)
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers10050.0%F

Over (6.5)
Ceasers100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM10050.0%F

Over (6.5)
BetMGM100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS10050.0%F

Over (6.5)
BetUS100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-11753.9%C

Under (6.5)
Bovada-117
Break Even53.9%
Probability52.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11954.3%F

Under (6.5)
-119
Break Even54.3%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 54.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11954.3%F

Under (6.5)
Betonline.ag-119
Break Even54.3%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 54.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-12054.5%F

Under (6.5)
DraftKings-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-12054.5%F

Under (6.5)
Ceasers-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-12054.5%F

Under (6.5)
BetMGM-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-12054.5%F

Under (6.5)
BetUS-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.