Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots

NFL - December 21, 2026 7:15 PM

Kansas City Chiefs have a 57.9% of winning.
New England Patriots have a 42.1% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Kansas City ChiefsNew England Patriots
57.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-13557.4%A

Kansas City Chiefs
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability57.9%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.9%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Ceasers-18064.3%F

Kansas City Chiefs
Ceasers-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability57.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers14041.7%A

New England Patriots
Ceasers140
Break Even41.7%
Probability42.1%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
DraftKings11446.7%F

New England Patriots
DraftKings114
Break Even46.7%
Probability42.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

50.0% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win by 2.5 or more points.
50.0% chance that New England Patriots win or are within 2.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)New England Patriots (2.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

New England Patriots (2.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

New England Patriots (2.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win by 3 or more points.
50.0% chance that New England Patriots win or are within 3 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3)New England Patriots (3)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-3)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

New England Patriots (3)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (3) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 45.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 45.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (45.5)Under (45.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Over (45.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Over (45.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Over (45.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Under (45.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Under (45.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Under (45.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.