New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

NFL - December 6, 2026 3:25 PM

Buffalo Bills have a 49.7% of winning.
New England Patriots have a 50.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Buffalo BillsNew England Patriots
49.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings10249.5%A-

Buffalo Bills
DraftKings102
Break Even49.5%
Probability49.7%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Bills must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Ceasers-12555.6%F

Buffalo Bills
Ceasers-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Bills must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-10651.5%C

New England Patriots
Ceasers-106
Break Even51.5%
Probability50.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-12255.0%F

New England Patriots
DraftKings-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

51.0% chance that Buffalo Bills win by 1 or more points.
49.0% chance that New England Patriots win or are within 1 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Buffalo Bills (-1)New England Patriots (1)
51.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-12054.5%F

Buffalo Bills (-1)
Ceasers-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Bills (-1) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-11052.4%F

New England Patriots (1)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (1) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.4% chance that Buffalo Bills win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
49.6% chance that New England Patriots win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Buffalo Bills (1.5)New England Patriots (-1.5)
50.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-11252.8%F

Buffalo Bills (1.5)
DraftKings-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Bills (1.5) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-10851.9%F

New England Patriots (-1.5)
DraftKings-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 48.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 48.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (48.5)Under (48.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Over (48.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (48.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Under (48.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (48.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 49.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 49.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (49.5)Under (49.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Over (49.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (49.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Under (49.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (49.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.