Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

NFL - November 26, 2026 7:20 PM

Buffalo Bills have a 58.6% of winning.
Kansas City Chiefs have a 41.4% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Buffalo BillsKansas City Chiefs
58.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-14659.3%C

Buffalo Bills
-146
Break Even59.3%
Probability58.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Bills must be more likely than 59.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-14859.7%C

Buffalo Bills
DraftKings-148
Break Even59.7%
Probability58.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Bills must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-17864.0%F

Buffalo Bills
Ceasers-178
Break Even64.0%
Probability58.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Bills must be more likely than 64.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
41.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers15040.0%A+

Kansas City Chiefs
Ceasers150
Break Even40.0%
Probability41.4%
GradeA+
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.4%, more likely, giving this bet a A+ grade.
Fanduel12444.6%F

Kansas City Chiefs
124
Break Even44.6%
Probability41.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings12444.6%F

Kansas City Chiefs
DraftKings124
Break Even44.6%
Probability41.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

51.3% chance that Buffalo Bills win by 2.5 or more points.
48.7% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win or are within 2.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Buffalo Bills (-2.5)Kansas City Chiefs (2.5)
51.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11553.5%F

Buffalo Bills (-2.5)
DraftKings-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Bills (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-11854.1%F

Buffalo Bills (-2.5)
-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Bills (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-10451.0%F

Kansas City Chiefs (2.5)
-104
Break Even51.0%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (2.5) spread must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-10551.2%F

Kansas City Chiefs (2.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (2.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.9% chance that Buffalo Bills win by 3 or more points.
51.1% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win or are within 3 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Buffalo Bills (-3)Kansas City Chiefs (3)
48.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-10551.2%F

Buffalo Bills (-3)
Ceasers-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Buffalo Bills (-3) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Kansas City Chiefs (3)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (3) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

49.3% chance that the total final score will be over 50.5 points.
50.7% chance that the total final score will be under 50.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (50.5)Under (50.5)
49.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-10451.0%C

Over (50.5)
-104
Break Even51.0%
Probability49.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (50.5) must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Over (50.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (50.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%C

Under (50.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (50.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-11854.1%F

Under (50.5)
-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability50.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (50.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.9% chance that the total final score will be over 51.5 points.
51.1% chance that the total final score will be under 51.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (51.5)Under (51.5)
48.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-10551.2%F

Over (51.5)
Ceasers-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (51.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Under (51.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (51.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.