Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

NFL - November 15, 2026 12:00 PM

Atlanta Falcons have a 35.4% of winning.
Kansas City Chiefs have a 64.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Atlanta FalconsKansas City Chiefs
35.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings18035.7%B

Atlanta Falcons
DraftKings180
Break Even35.7%
Probability35.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Atlanta Falcons must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers16038.5%F

Atlanta Falcons
Ceasers160
Break Even38.5%
Probability35.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Atlanta Falcons must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
64.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-20066.7%F

Kansas City Chiefs
Ceasers-200
Break Even66.7%
Probability64.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 66.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-21868.6%F

Kansas City Chiefs
DraftKings-218
Break Even68.6%
Probability64.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 68.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

49.0% chance that Atlanta Falcons win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
51.0% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Atlanta Falcons (3.5)Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)
49.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Atlanta Falcons (3.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Atlanta Falcons (3.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-12054.5%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)
Ceasers-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that Atlanta Falcons win or are within 4.5 points of winning.
50.0% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win by 4.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Atlanta Falcons (4.5)Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Atlanta Falcons (4.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Atlanta Falcons (4.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 44.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 44.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (44.5)Under (44.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Over (44.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (44.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Under (44.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (44.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 45.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 45.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (45.5)Under (45.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Over (45.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Under (45.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.