Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts

NFL - October 4, 2026 8:30 AM

Indianapolis Colts have a 50.6% of winning.
Washington Commanders have a 49.4% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Indianapolis Colts

Washington Commanders

50.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Indianapolis Colts

DraftKings	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	A-

For this to be profitable, the Indianapolis Colts must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.

Ceasers

-110

52.4%

Indianapolis Colts

Ceasers	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Indianapolis Colts must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

-124

55.4%

Indianapolis Colts

	-124
Break Even	55.4%
Probability	50.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Indianapolis Colts must be more likely than 55.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Washington Commanders

	106
Break Even	48.5%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	A+

For this to be profitable, the Washington Commanders must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, more likely, giving this bet a A+ grade.

Ceasers

-107

51.7%

Washington Commanders

Ceasers	-107
Break Even	51.7%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Washington Commanders must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

DraftKings

-118

54.1%

Washington Commanders

DraftKings	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	49.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Washington Commanders must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

51.4% chance that Indianapolis Colts win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
48.6% chance that Washington Commanders win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Indianapolis Colts (1.5)

Washington Commanders (-1.5)

51.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Ceasers

-114

53.3%

Indianapolis Colts (1.5)

Ceasers	-114
Break Even	53.3%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Indianapolis Colts (1.5) spread must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

-115

53.5%

Indianapolis Colts (1.5)

DraftKings	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Indianapolis Colts (1.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetUS

-120

54.5%

Indianapolis Colts (1.5)

BetUS	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Indianapolis Colts (1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetUS

100

50.0%

Washington Commanders (-1.5)

BetUS	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Washington Commanders (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

-105

51.2%

Washington Commanders (-1.5)

DraftKings	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Washington Commanders (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Ceasers

-106

51.5%

Washington Commanders (-1.5)

Ceasers	-106
Break Even	51.5%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Washington Commanders (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that Indianapolis Colts win by 1.5 or more points.
50.0% chance that Washington Commanders win or are within 1.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Indianapolis Colts (-1.5)

Washington Commanders (1.5)

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanduel

-110

52.4%

Indianapolis Colts (-1.5)

	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Indianapolis Colts (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanduel

-110

52.4%

Washington Commanders (1.5)

	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Washington Commanders (1.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 48.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 48.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (48.5)

Under (48.5)

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetUS

-110

52.4%

Over (48.5)

BetUS	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (48.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetUS

-110

52.4%

Under (48.5)

BetUS	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (48.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.7% chance that the total final score will be over 49.5 points.
49.3% chance that the total final score will be under 49.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (49.5)

Under (49.5)

50.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanduel

-110

52.4%

Over (49.5)

	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (49.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Ceasers

-117

53.9%

Over (49.5)

Ceasers	-117
Break Even	53.9%
Probability	50.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (49.5) must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Ceasers

-104

51.0%

Under (49.5)

Ceasers	-104
Break Even	51.0%
Probability	49.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (49.5) must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

-110

52.4%

Under (49.5)

	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	49.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (49.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 50.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 50.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (50.5)

Under (50.5)

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

-110

52.4%

Over (50.5)

DraftKings	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (50.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

-110

52.4%

Under (50.5)

DraftKings	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (50.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.