Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs

NFL - September 27, 2026 12:00 PM

Kansas City Chiefs have a 75.9% of winning.
Miami Dolphins have a 24.1% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Kansas City ChiefsMiami Dolphins
75.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-38079.2%F

Kansas City Chiefs
Ceasers-380
Break Even79.2%
Probability75.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 79.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-39579.8%F

Kansas City Chiefs
DraftKings-395
Break Even79.8%
Probability75.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 79.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
24.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings31024.4%B

Miami Dolphins
DraftKings310
Break Even24.4%
Probability24.1%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers28526.0%C

Miami Dolphins
Ceasers285
Break Even26.0%
Probability24.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

51.1% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win by 7 or more points.
48.9% chance that Miami Dolphins win or are within 7 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Kansas City Chiefs (-7)Miami Dolphins (7)
51.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetUS-11553.5%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-7)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-7) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetUS-10551.2%F

Miami Dolphins (7)
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (7) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win by 7.5 or more points.
50.0% chance that Miami Dolphins win or are within 7.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5)Miami Dolphins (7.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Miami Dolphins (7.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (7.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Miami Dolphins (7.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (7.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 43.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 43.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (43.5)Under (43.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Over (43.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (43.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Under (43.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (43.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 44.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 44.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (44.5)Under (44.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Over (44.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (44.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Over (44.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (44.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Under (44.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (44.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Under (44.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (44.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.