Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs

NFL - September 27, 2026 12:00 PM

Kansas City Chiefs have a 74.7% of winning.
Miami Dolphins have a 25.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Kansas City ChiefsMiami Dolphins
74.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-34077.3%F

Kansas City Chiefs
DraftKings-340
Break Even77.3%
Probability74.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 77.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 74.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-38079.2%F

Kansas City Chiefs
Ceasers-380
Break Even79.2%
Probability74.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 79.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 74.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
25.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers28526.0%C

Miami Dolphins
Ceasers285
Break Even26.0%
Probability25.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings27027.0%C

Miami Dolphins
DraftKings270
Break Even27.0%
Probability25.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

51.1% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win by 7 or more points.
48.9% chance that Miami Dolphins win or are within 7 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Kansas City Chiefs (-7)Miami Dolphins (7)
51.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11553.5%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-7)
DraftKings-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-7) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11553.5%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-7)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-7) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-10551.2%F

Miami Dolphins (7)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (7) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-10551.2%F

Miami Dolphins (7)
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (7) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win by 7.5 or more points.
50.0% chance that Miami Dolphins win or are within 7.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5)Miami Dolphins (7.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Miami Dolphins (7.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (7.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 43.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 43.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (43.5)Under (43.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Over (43.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (43.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Under (43.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (43.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 44.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 44.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (44.5)Under (44.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Over (44.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (44.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Over (44.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (44.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Under (44.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (44.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Under (44.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (44.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.