New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

NFL - January 4, 2026 3:25 PM

Miami Dolphins have a 17.8% of winning.
New England Patriots have a 82.2% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Miami DolphinsNew England Patriots
17.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel48017.2%A

Miami Dolphins
480
Break Even17.2%
Probability17.8%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 17.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.8%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
BetMGM47517.4%A

Miami Dolphins
BetMGM475
Break Even17.4%
Probability17.8%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 17.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.8%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
DraftKings45518.0%B

Miami Dolphins
DraftKings455
Break Even18.0%
Probability17.8%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 18.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.8%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers45018.2%B

Miami Dolphins
Ceasers450
Break Even18.2%
Probability17.8%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 18.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.8%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
MyBookie44018.5%C

Miami Dolphins
MyBookie440
Break Even18.5%
Probability17.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 18.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers43018.9%C

Miami Dolphins
BetRivers430
Break Even18.9%
Probability17.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 18.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada43018.9%C

Miami Dolphins
Bovada430
Break Even18.9%
Probability17.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins must be more likely than 18.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
82.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-55084.6%F

New England Patriots
-550
Break Even84.6%
Probability82.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 84.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-55084.6%F

New England Patriots
Betonline.ag-550
Break Even84.6%
Probability82.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 84.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-55084.6%F

New England Patriots
BetUS-550
Break Even84.6%
Probability82.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 84.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-57585.2%F

New England Patriots
Fanatics-575
Break Even85.2%
Probability82.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 85.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-59085.5%F

New England Patriots
Ceasers-590
Break Even85.5%
Probability82.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 85.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-62586.2%F

New England Patriots
DraftKings-625
Break Even86.2%
Probability82.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 86.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-62586.2%F

New England Patriots
Bovada-625
Break Even86.2%
Probability82.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots must be more likely than 86.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

50.1% chance that Miami Dolphins win or are within 10.5 points of winning.
49.9% chance that New England Patriots win by 10.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Miami Dolphins (10.5)New England Patriots (-10.5)
50.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-10551.2%C

Miami Dolphins (10.5)
-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability50.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (10.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-10952.2%F

Miami Dolphins (10.5)
Ceasers-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Miami Dolphins (10.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11052.4%F

Miami Dolphins (10.5)
BetRivers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Miami Dolphins (10.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Miami Dolphins (10.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-11052.4%F

Miami Dolphins (10.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Dolphins (10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10050.0%B

New England Patriots (-10.5)
100
Break Even50.0%
Probability49.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag-10551.2%C

New England Patriots (-10.5)
Betonline.ag-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-10551.2%C

New England Patriots (-10.5)
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-11052.4%F

New England Patriots (-10.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

New England Patriots (-10.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

New England Patriots (-10.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

New England Patriots (-10.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New England Patriots (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.1% chance that the total final score will be over 45.5 points.
49.9% chance that the total final score will be under 45.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (45.5)Under (45.5)
50.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10751.7%C

Over (45.5)
-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability50.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Over (45.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Over (45.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Over (45.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

Over (45.5)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%F

Over (45.5)
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Over (45.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10751.7%C

Under (45.5)
-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability49.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-10851.9%F

Under (45.5)
DraftKings-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-10851.9%F

Under (45.5)
Ceasers-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Under (45.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Under (45.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Under (45.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

Under (45.5)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (45.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.