Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

NFL - December 7, 2025 7:20 PM

Houston Texans have a 37.8% of winning.
Kansas City Chiefs have a 62.2% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Kansas City Chiefs

37.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Houston Texans

Bovada	160
Break Even	38.5%
Probability	37.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Houston Texans

	157
Break Even	38.9%
Probability	37.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans must be more likely than 38.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Houston Texans

Betonline.ag	157
Break Even	38.9%
Probability	37.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans must be more likely than 38.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Houston Texans

Ceasers	155
Break Even	39.2%
Probability	37.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Houston Texans

BetUS	155
Break Even	39.2%
Probability	37.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Houston Texans

BetMGM	154
Break Even	39.4%
Probability	37.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans must be more likely than 39.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Houston Texans

	152
Break Even	39.7%
Probability	37.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans must be more likely than 39.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

62.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Kansas City Chiefs

	-180
Break Even	64.3%
Probability	62.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs

DraftKings	-180
Break Even	64.3%
Probability	62.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs

	-180
Break Even	64.3%
Probability	62.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs

Betonline.ag	-180
Break Even	64.3%
Probability	62.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs

BetUS	-180
Break Even	64.3%
Probability	62.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs

Fanatics	-180
Break Even	64.3%
Probability	62.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs

BetMGM	-185
Break Even	64.9%
Probability	62.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

47.7% chance that Houston Texans win or are within 3 points of winning.
52.3% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win by 3 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Houston Texans (3)

Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

47.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Houston Texans (3)

Bovada	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Houston Texans (3)

	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Houston Texans (3)

Betonline.ag	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Houston Texans (3)

BetUS	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Houston Texans (3)

BetRivers	-107
Break Even	51.7%
Probability	47.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3) spread must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

52.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

	-116
Break Even	53.7%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3) spread must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

BetRivers	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

Betonline.ag	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

BetUS	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

Bovada	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	52.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

51.6% chance that Houston Texans win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
48.4% chance that Kansas City Chiefs win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Houston Texans (3.5)

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

51.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Houston Texans (3.5)

DraftKings	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Houston Texans (3.5)

Fanatics	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Houston Texans (3.5)

Ceasers	-117
Break Even	53.9%
Probability	51.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3.5) spread must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Houston Texans (3.5)

BetMGM	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	51.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3.5) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Houston Texans (3.5)

	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	51.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Houston Texans (3.5)

MyBookie	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	51.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Houston Texans (3.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

MyBookie	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	48.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

BetMGM	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

Ceasers	-104
Break Even	51.0%
Probability	48.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

DraftKings	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

Fanatics	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.4% chance that the total final score will be over 41.5 points.
49.6% chance that the total final score will be under 41.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (41.5)

Under (41.5)

50.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (41.5)

	-107
Break Even	51.7%
Probability	50.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (41.5) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (41.5)

BetMGM	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (41.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (41.5)

Bovada	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (41.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (41.5)

Betonline.ag	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (41.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (41.5)

BetUS	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (41.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (41.5)

Fanatics	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (41.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (41.5)

Ceasers	-114
Break Even	53.3%
Probability	50.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (41.5) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (41.5)

	-104
Break Even	51.0%
Probability	49.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (41.5) must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (41.5)

DraftKings	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (41.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (41.5)

Ceasers	-106
Break Even	51.5%
Probability	49.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (41.5) must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (41.5)

	-107
Break Even	51.7%
Probability	49.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (41.5) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (41.5)

BetMGM	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	49.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (41.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (41.5)

Bovada	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	49.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (41.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (41.5)

Betonline.ag	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	49.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (41.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 42 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 42 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (42)

Under (42)

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (42)

MyBookie	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (42) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (42)

MyBookie	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	50.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (42) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.