Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs SMU Mustangs

NCAAF - November 21, 2026 6:30 PM

Notre Dame Fighting Irish have a 88.7% of winning.
SMU Mustangs have a 11.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Notre Dame Fighting IrishSMU Mustangs
88.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-120092.3%F

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
DraftKings-1200
Break Even92.3%
Probability88.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish must be more likely than 92.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 88.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
11.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings75011.8%B

SMU Mustangs
DraftKings750
Break Even11.8%
Probability11.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs must be more likely than 11.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 11.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Spreads:

51.1% chance that Notre Dame Fighting Irish win by 17.5 or more points.
48.9% chance that SMU Mustangs win or are within 17.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-17.5)SMU Mustangs (17.5)
51.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-11553.5%F

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-17.5)
DraftKings-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-17.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-10551.2%F

SMU Mustangs (17.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs (17.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

49.6% chance that the total final score will be over 56.5 points.
50.4% chance that the total final score will be under 56.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (56.5)Under (56.5)
49.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-10851.9%F

Over (56.5)
DraftKings-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (56.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-11252.8%F

Under (56.5)
DraftKings-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (56.5) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.