Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs

NCAAF - September 7, 2026 6:30 PM

Florida State Seminoles have a 42.2% of winning.
SMU Mustangs have a 57.8% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Florida State SeminolesSMU Mustangs
42.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetUS13143.3%C

Florida State Seminoles
BetUS131
Break Even43.3%
Probability42.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles must be more likely than 43.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig13043.5%C

Florida State Seminoles
130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag13043.5%C

Florida State Seminoles
Betonline.ag130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers12843.9%C

Florida State Seminoles
Ceasers128
Break Even43.9%
Probability42.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles must be more likely than 43.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers12843.9%C

Florida State Seminoles
BetRivers128
Break Even43.9%
Probability42.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles must be more likely than 43.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel12544.4%F

Florida State Seminoles
125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM12544.4%F

Florida State Seminoles
BetMGM125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
57.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-14559.2%C

SMU Mustangs
Bovada-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability57.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-14859.7%C

SMU Mustangs
DraftKings-148
Break Even59.7%
Probability57.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-15060.0%F

SMU Mustangs
-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-15060.0%F

SMU Mustangs
BetMGM-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-15060.0%F

SMU Mustangs
-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-15060.0%F

SMU Mustangs
Betonline.ag-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-15260.3%F

SMU Mustangs
Ceasers-152
Break Even60.3%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs must be more likely than 60.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

47.6% chance that Florida State Seminoles win or are within 2.5 points of winning.
52.4% chance that SMU Mustangs win by 2.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Florida State Seminoles (2.5)SMU Mustangs (-2.5)
47.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel10050.0%F

Florida State Seminoles (2.5)
100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles (2.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-12255.0%F

SMU Mustangs (-2.5)
-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.6% chance that Florida State Seminoles win or are within 3 points of winning.
49.4% chance that SMU Mustangs win by 3 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Florida State Seminoles (3)SMU Mustangs (-3)
50.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetRivers-10952.2%C

Florida State Seminoles (3)
BetRivers-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability50.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles (3) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%C

Florida State Seminoles (3)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles (3) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%C

Florida State Seminoles (3)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles (3) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11052.4%C

Florida State Seminoles (3)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles (3) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11152.6%F

Florida State Seminoles (3)
-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles (3) spread must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11252.8%F

Florida State Seminoles (3)
Ceasers-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles (3) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-11553.5%F

Florida State Seminoles (3)
DraftKings-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Florida State Seminoles (3) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada10050.0%C

SMU Mustangs (-3)
Bovada100
Break Even50.0%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs (-3) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-10150.2%C

SMU Mustangs (-3)
-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs (-3) spread must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-10551.2%C

SMU Mustangs (-3)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs (-3) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10551.2%C

SMU Mustangs (-3)
Betonline.ag-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs (-3) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-10851.9%F

SMU Mustangs (-3)
Ceasers-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs (-3) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

SMU Mustangs (-3)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs (-3) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

SMU Mustangs (-3)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the SMU Mustangs (-3) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 53 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 53 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (53)Under (53)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-11052.4%F

Over (53)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (53) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

Over (53)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (53) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11252.8%F

Over (53)
BetRivers-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (53) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-11052.4%F

Under (53)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (53) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

Under (53)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (53) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11252.8%F

Under (53)
BetRivers-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (53) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.5% chance that the total final score will be over 53.5 points.
50.5% chance that the total final score will be under 53.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (53.5)Under (53.5)
49.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-10551.2%C

Over (53.5)
-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (53.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-10551.2%C

Over (53.5)
-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (53.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-10751.7%F

Over (53.5)
Ceasers-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (53.5) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10751.7%F

Over (53.5)
Betonline.ag-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (53.5) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-10851.9%F

Over (53.5)
BetMGM-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (53.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Over (53.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (53.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Over (53.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (53.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%C

Under (53.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (53.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%C

Under (53.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (53.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11052.4%C

Under (53.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (53.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11252.8%F

Under (53.5)
-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (53.5) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11353.1%F

Under (53.5)
Betonline.ag-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (53.5) must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11453.3%F

Under (53.5)
Ceasers-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (53.5) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-11553.5%F

Under (53.5)
-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (53.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.