Mississippi State Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks

NCAAF - September 5, 2026 6:30 PM

Mississippi State Bulldogs have a 95.0% of winning.
UL Monroe Warhawks have a 5.0% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mississippi State BulldogsUL Monroe Warhawks
95.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-400097.6%F

Mississippi State Bulldogs
DraftKings-4000
Break Even97.6%
Probability95.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs must be more likely than 97.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 95.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-400097.6%F

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Fanatics-4000
Break Even97.6%
Probability95.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs must be more likely than 97.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 95.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-500098.0%F

Mississippi State Bulldogs
MyBookie-5000
Break Even98.0%
Probability95.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs must be more likely than 98.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 95.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-800098.8%F

Mississippi State Bulldogs
-8000
Break Even98.8%
Probability95.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs must be more likely than 98.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 95.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-1000099.0%F

Mississippi State Bulldogs
BetMGM-10000
Break Even99.0%
Probability95.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs must be more likely than 99.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 95.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-10000099.9%F

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Bovada-100000
Break Even99.9%
Probability95.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs must be more likely than 99.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 95.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
5.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada25003.8%A+

UL Monroe Warhawks
Bovada2500
Break Even3.8%
Probability5.0%
GradeA+
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks must be more likely than 3.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 5.0%, more likely, giving this bet a A+ grade.
Fanduel22004.3%A

UL Monroe Warhawks
2200
Break Even4.3%
Probability5.0%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks must be more likely than 4.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 5.0%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
BetMGM20004.8%A

UL Monroe Warhawks
BetMGM2000
Break Even4.8%
Probability5.0%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks must be more likely than 4.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 5.0%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Fanatics18005.3%B

UL Monroe Warhawks
Fanatics1800
Break Even5.3%
Probability5.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks must be more likely than 5.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 5.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings16005.9%C

UL Monroe Warhawks
DraftKings1600
Break Even5.9%
Probability5.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks must be more likely than 5.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 5.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie13007.1%F

UL Monroe Warhawks
MyBookie1300
Break Even7.1%
Probability5.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks must be more likely than 7.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 5.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

49.3% chance that Mississippi State Bulldogs win by 28.5 or more points.
50.7% chance that UL Monroe Warhawks win or are within 28.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5)UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5)
49.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10150.2%C

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5)
-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability49.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5) spread must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-10551.2%C

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-10551.2%C

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5)
BetMGM-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-10551.2%C

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10551.2%C

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5)
Betonline.ag-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics-10551.2%C

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5)
Fanatics-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-10751.7%F

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5)
Ceasers-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability49.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (-28.5) spread must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-11052.4%C

UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11052.4%C

UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%C

UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11152.6%C

UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5)
-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5) spread must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-11252.8%F

UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5)
BetMGM-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11353.1%F

UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5)
Ceasers-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5) spread must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-11553.5%F

UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5)
DraftKings-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks (28.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.7% chance that Mississippi State Bulldogs win by 29 or more points.
50.3% chance that UL Monroe Warhawks win or are within 29 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-29)UL Monroe Warhawks (29)
49.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-11052.4%F

Mississippi State Bulldogs (-29)
BetRivers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (-29) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-11353.1%F

UL Monroe Warhawks (29)
BetRivers-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UL Monroe Warhawks (29) spread must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.2% chance that the total final score will be over 54.5 points.
49.8% chance that the total final score will be under 54.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (54.5)Under (54.5)
50.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Over (54.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (54.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Over (54.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (54.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Over (54.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (54.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

Over (54.5)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (54.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-11052.4%F

Over (54.5)
Fanatics-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (54.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-11252.8%F

Over (54.5)
DraftKings-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (54.5) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11252.8%F

Over (54.5)
Ceasers-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (54.5) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-10851.9%F

Under (54.5)
DraftKings-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (54.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-10851.9%F

Under (54.5)
Ceasers-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (54.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-10851.9%F

Under (54.5)
BetMGM-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (54.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Under (54.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (54.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Under (54.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (54.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

Under (54.5)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (54.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-11052.4%F

Under (54.5)
Fanatics-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (54.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.0% chance that the total final score will be over 55 points.
51.0% chance that the total final score will be under 55 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (55)Under (55)
49.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10350.7%C

Over (55)
-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability49.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (55) must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-10551.2%F

Over (55)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (55) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10551.2%F

Over (55)
Betonline.ag-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (55) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-10851.9%F

Over (55)
BetRivers-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (55) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11453.3%F

Under (55)
-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (55) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11553.5%F

Under (55)
BetRivers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (55) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11553.5%F

Under (55)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (55) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11553.5%F

Under (55)
Betonline.ag-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (55) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.