Bowling Green Falcons vs Tarleton State Texans

NCAAF - September 5, 2026 11:00 AM

Bowling Green Falcons have a 54.2% of winning.
Tarleton State Texans have a 45.8% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bowling Green FalconsTarleton State Texans
54.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-12655.8%C

Bowling Green Falcons
-126
Break Even55.8%
Probability54.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons must be more likely than 55.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-13056.5%F

Bowling Green Falcons
Ceasers-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-13056.5%F

Bowling Green Falcons
Fanatics-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-13457.3%F

Bowling Green Falcons
BetRivers-134
Break Even57.3%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons must be more likely than 57.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Bowling Green Falcons
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
45.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings11446.7%C

Tarleton State Texans
DraftKings114
Break Even46.7%
Probability45.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics11047.6%C

Tarleton State Texans
Fanatics110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers10848.1%F

Tarleton State Texans
BetRivers108
Break Even48.1%
Probability45.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers10648.5%F

Tarleton State Texans
Ceasers106
Break Even48.5%
Probability45.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel10548.8%F

Tarleton State Texans
105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

50.5% chance that Bowling Green Falcons win by 1.5 or more points.
49.5% chance that Tarleton State Texans win or are within 1.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bowling Green Falcons (-1.5)Tarleton State Texans (1.5)
50.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanatics-11052.4%C

Bowling Green Falcons (-1.5)
Fanatics-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-11553.5%F

Bowling Green Falcons (-1.5)
-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-10551.2%C

Tarleton State Texans (1.5)
-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans (1.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics-11052.4%F

Tarleton State Texans (1.5)
Fanatics-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans (1.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

47.9% chance that Bowling Green Falcons win by 2.5 or more points.
52.1% chance that Tarleton State Texans win or are within 2.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5)Tarleton State Texans (2.5)
47.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings10050.0%F

Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5)
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-10150.2%F

Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5)
-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10150.2%F

Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5)
Betonline.ag-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-10250.5%F

Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5)
Ceasers-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11052.4%F

Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5)
BetRivers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetRivers-11252.8%C

Tarleton State Texans (2.5)
BetRivers-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability52.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans (2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-12054.5%F

Tarleton State Texans (2.5)
DraftKings-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans (2.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-12154.8%F

Tarleton State Texans (2.5)
Ceasers-121
Break Even54.8%
Probability52.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans (2.5) spread must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-13056.5%F

Tarleton State Texans (2.5)
-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability52.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans (2.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13056.5%F

Tarleton State Texans (2.5)
Betonline.ag-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability52.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Tarleton State Texans (2.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

52.9% chance that the total final score will be over 47.5 points.
47.1% chance that the total final score will be under 47.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (47.5)Under (47.5)
52.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig-13056.5%F

Over (47.5)
-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability52.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (47.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13056.5%F

Over (47.5)
Betonline.ag-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability52.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (47.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig-10150.2%F

Under (47.5)
-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability47.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (47.5) must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10150.2%F

Under (47.5)
Betonline.ag-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability47.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (47.5) must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 48.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 48.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (48.5)Under (48.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetRivers-10952.2%F

Over (48.5)
BetRivers-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (48.5) must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Over (48.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (48.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-11052.4%F

Over (48.5)
Fanatics-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (48.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-11252.8%F

Over (48.5)
DraftKings-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (48.5) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11252.8%F

Over (48.5)
Ceasers-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (48.5) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-10851.9%C

Under (48.5)
DraftKings-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (48.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Under (48.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (48.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Under (48.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (48.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-11052.4%F

Under (48.5)
Fanatics-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (48.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11353.1%F

Under (48.5)
BetRivers-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (48.5) must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.