Michigan State Spartans vs Toledo Rockets

NCAAF - September 4, 2026 7:00 PM

Michigan State Spartans have a 77.6% of winning.
Toledo Rockets have a 22.4% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Michigan State SpartansToledo Rockets
77.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-40080.0%F

Michigan State Spartans
Ceasers-400
Break Even80.0%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-40580.2%F

Michigan State Spartans
-405
Break Even80.2%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans must be more likely than 80.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-40580.2%F

Michigan State Spartans
Betonline.ag-405
Break Even80.2%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans must be more likely than 80.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-40580.2%F

Michigan State Spartans
BetUS-405
Break Even80.2%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans must be more likely than 80.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-41080.4%F

Michigan State Spartans
-410
Break Even80.4%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans must be more likely than 80.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-41080.4%F

Michigan State Spartans
DraftKings-410
Break Even80.4%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans must be more likely than 80.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-42581.0%F

Michigan State Spartans
BetMGM-425
Break Even81.0%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans must be more likely than 81.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
22.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers36021.7%A

Toledo Rockets
BetRivers360
Break Even21.7%
Probability22.4%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
MyBookie34022.7%B

Toledo Rockets
MyBookie340
Break Even22.7%
Probability22.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetMGM33323.1%C

Toledo Rockets
BetMGM333
Break Even23.1%
Probability22.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets must be more likely than 23.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada33023.3%C

Toledo Rockets
Bovada330
Break Even23.3%
Probability22.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets must be more likely than 23.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS32523.5%C

Toledo Rockets
BetUS325
Break Even23.5%
Probability22.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets must be more likely than 23.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics32523.5%C

Toledo Rockets
Fanatics325
Break Even23.5%
Probability22.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets must be more likely than 23.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings32023.8%C

Toledo Rockets
DraftKings320
Break Even23.8%
Probability22.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

50.3% chance that Michigan State Spartans win by 10 or more points.
49.7% chance that Toledo Rockets win or are within 10 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Michigan State Spartans (-10)Toledo Rockets (10)
50.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-10851.9%C

Michigan State Spartans (-10)
DraftKings-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-10952.2%C

Michigan State Spartans (-10)
-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability50.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

Michigan State Spartans (-10)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11252.8%F

Michigan State Spartans (-10)
Ceasers-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11353.1%F

Michigan State Spartans (-10)
Betonline.ag-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10) spread must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10350.7%C

Toledo Rockets (10)
-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability49.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10) spread must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10751.7%C

Toledo Rockets (10)
Betonline.ag-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability49.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10) spread must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-10851.9%F

Toledo Rockets (10)
Ceasers-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

Toledo Rockets (10)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-11252.8%F

Toledo Rockets (10)
DraftKings-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.1% chance that Michigan State Spartans win by 10.5 or more points.
50.9% chance that Toledo Rockets win or are within 10.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)Toledo Rockets (10.5)
49.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-10551.2%F

Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)
-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-10551.2%F

Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)
BetMGM-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-10551.2%F

Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-10551.2%F

Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-10551.2%F

Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)
Fanatics-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-10952.2%F

Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)
BetRivers-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Michigan State Spartans (-10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-11252.8%C

Toledo Rockets (10.5)
BetMGM-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10.5) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers-11453.3%F

Toledo Rockets (10.5)
BetRivers-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability50.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10.5) spread must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-11553.5%F

Toledo Rockets (10.5)
-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11553.5%F

Toledo Rockets (10.5)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11553.5%F

Toledo Rockets (10.5)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-11553.5%F

Toledo Rockets (10.5)
Fanatics-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Toledo Rockets (10.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.6% chance that the total final score will be over 46.5 points.
49.4% chance that the total final score will be under 46.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (46.5)Under (46.5)
50.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10851.9%C

Over (46.5)
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (46.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%C

Over (46.5)
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (46.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11052.4%C

Over (46.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (46.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%C

Over (46.5)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (46.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics-11052.4%C

Over (46.5)
Fanatics-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (46.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-11252.8%F

Over (46.5)
BetMGM-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (46.5) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-11453.3%F

Over (46.5)
-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability50.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (46.5) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-10250.5%C

Under (46.5)
Ceasers-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (46.5) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-10551.2%C

Under (46.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (46.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-10551.2%C

Under (46.5)
BetMGM-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (46.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-10551.2%C

Under (46.5)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (46.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-10651.5%F

Under (46.5)
-106
Break Even51.5%
Probability49.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (46.5) must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-10851.9%F

Under (46.5)
BetRivers-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (46.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-10851.9%F

Under (46.5)
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (46.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.