UC San Diego Tritons vs Cal Poly Mustangs

NCAAB - February 28, 2026 9:00 PM

Cal Poly Mustangs have a 27.8% of winning.
UC San Diego Tritons have a 72.2% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Cal Poly MustangsUC San Diego Tritons
27.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada25528.2%B

Cal Poly Mustangs
Bovada255
Break Even28.2%
Probability27.8%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.8%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel25028.6%C

Cal Poly Mustangs
250
Break Even28.6%
Probability27.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS24529.0%C

Cal Poly Mustangs
BetUS245
Break Even29.0%
Probability27.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig24129.3%C

Cal Poly Mustangs
241
Break Even29.3%
Probability27.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs must be more likely than 29.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag24129.3%C

Cal Poly Mustangs
Betonline.ag241
Break Even29.3%
Probability27.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs must be more likely than 29.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers24029.4%C

Cal Poly Mustangs
Ceasers240
Break Even29.4%
Probability27.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers24029.4%C

Cal Poly Mustangs
BetRivers240
Break Even29.4%
Probability27.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
72.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig-29574.7%F

UC San Diego Tritons
-295
Break Even74.7%
Probability72.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons must be more likely than 74.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-29574.7%F

UC San Diego Tritons
Betonline.ag-295
Break Even74.7%
Probability72.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons must be more likely than 74.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-29574.7%F

UC San Diego Tritons
BetUS-295
Break Even74.7%
Probability72.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons must be more likely than 74.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-30575.3%F

UC San Diego Tritons
Ceasers-305
Break Even75.3%
Probability72.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons must be more likely than 75.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-31075.6%F

UC San Diego Tritons
Bovada-310
Break Even75.6%
Probability72.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons must be more likely than 75.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-31575.9%F

UC San Diego Tritons
-315
Break Even75.9%
Probability72.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons must be more likely than 75.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-31575.9%F

UC San Diego Tritons
BetRivers-315
Break Even75.9%
Probability72.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons must be more likely than 75.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

49.5% chance that Cal Poly Mustangs win or are within 6.5 points of winning.
50.5% chance that UC San Diego Tritons win by 6.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5)UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5)
49.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig-10150.2%C

Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5)
-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability49.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5) spread must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10551.2%C

Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5)
Betonline.ag-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11052.4%F

Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5)
BetRivers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs (6.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-11052.4%C

UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%C

UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11152.6%F

UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5)
-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5) spread must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11353.1%F

UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5)
BetRivers-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5) spread must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11553.5%F

UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5)
Betonline.ag-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons (-6.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.5% chance that Cal Poly Mustangs win or are within 7 points of winning.
50.5% chance that UC San Diego Tritons win by 7 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Cal Poly Mustangs (7)UC San Diego Tritons (-7)
49.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-10551.2%C

Cal Poly Mustangs (7)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs (7) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Cal Poly Mustangs (7)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Cal Poly Mustangs (7) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetUS-11052.4%C

UC San Diego Tritons (-7)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons (-7) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-11553.5%F

UC San Diego Tritons (-7)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the UC San Diego Tritons (-7) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 161.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 161.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (161.5)Under (161.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig-10851.9%C

Over (161.5)
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (161.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%F

Over (161.5)
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (161.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Over (161.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (161.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig-10851.9%C

Under (161.5)
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (161.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%F

Under (161.5)
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (161.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Under (161.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (161.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.9% chance that the total final score will be over 162 points.
51.1% chance that the total final score will be under 162 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (162)Under (162)
48.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-10551.2%F

Over (162)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (162) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-11553.5%F

Under (162)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (162) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.9% chance that the total final score will be over 162.5 points.
50.1% chance that the total final score will be under 162.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (162.5)Under (162.5)
49.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Over (162.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (162.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Over (162.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (162.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11052.4%F

Over (162.5)
BetRivers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (162.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Under (162.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (162.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Under (162.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (162.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11353.1%F

Under (162.5)
BetRivers-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (162.5) must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.