Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

NBA - December 25, 2026 1:30 PM

Boston Celtics have a 62.0% of winning.
Miami Heat have a 38.0% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Boston CelticsMiami Heat
62.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-17563.6%C

Boston Celtics
Bovada-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability62.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-18064.3%F

Boston Celtics
BetMGM-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability62.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-18564.9%F

Boston Celtics
DraftKings-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-19065.5%F

Boston Celtics
Ceasers-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-19566.1%F

Boston Celtics
BetRivers-195
Break Even66.1%
Probability62.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 66.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
38.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers15838.8%C

Miami Heat
Ceasers158
Break Even38.8%
Probability38.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 38.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings15439.4%C

Miami Heat
DraftKings154
Break Even39.4%
Probability38.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 39.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers15040.0%C

Miami Heat
BetRivers150
Break Even40.0%
Probability38.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada15040.0%C

Miami Heat
Bovada150
Break Even40.0%
Probability38.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM14540.8%F

Miami Heat
BetMGM145
Break Even40.8%
Probability38.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 40.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

50.7% chance that Boston Celtics win by 5 or more points.
49.3% chance that Miami Heat win or are within 5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Boston Celtics (-5)Miami Heat (5)
50.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetRivers-11553.5%F

Boston Celtics (-5)
BetRivers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetRivers-10851.9%F

Miami Heat (5)
BetRivers-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.8% chance that Boston Celtics win by 5.5 or more points.
50.2% chance that Miami Heat win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Boston Celtics (-5.5)Miami Heat (5.5)
49.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetMGM-10551.2%C

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
BetMGM-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-10651.5%C

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
-106
Break Even51.5%
Probability49.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%F

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig-10651.5%C

Miami Heat (5.5)
-106
Break Even51.5%
Probability50.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Miami Heat (5.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Miami Heat (5.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Miami Heat (5.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%F

Miami Heat (5.5)
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11553.5%F

Miami Heat (5.5)
BetMGM-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.1% chance that the total final score will be over 230.5 points.
49.9% chance that the total final score will be under 230.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (230.5)Under (230.5)
50.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Over (230.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (230.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Over (230.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (230.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Over (230.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (230.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11353.1%F

Over (230.5)
BetRivers-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (230.5) must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Under (230.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (230.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Under (230.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (230.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11052.4%F

Under (230.5)
BetRivers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (230.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Under (230.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (230.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 231 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 231 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (231)Under (231)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig-10751.7%C

Over (231)
-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability50.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (231) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%F

Over (231)
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (231) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Lowvig-10751.7%C

Under (231)
-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability50.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (231) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%F

Under (231)
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (231) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 231.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 231.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (231.5)Under (231.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-11052.4%F

Over (231.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (231.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-11052.4%F

Under (231.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (231.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.