Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

NBA - December 25, 2026 1:30 PM

Boston Celtics have a 62.3% of winning.
Miami Heat have a 37.7% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Boston CelticsMiami Heat
62.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetMGM-17563.6%C

Boston Celtics
BetMGM-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability62.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-17563.6%C

Boston Celtics
Bovada-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability62.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-18064.3%F

Boston Celtics
Ceasers-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability62.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-19466.0%F

Boston Celtics
-194
Break Even66.0%
Probability62.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 66.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-19566.1%F

Boston Celtics
BetRivers-195
Break Even66.1%
Probability62.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 66.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-19866.4%F

Boston Celtics
DraftKings-198
Break Even66.4%
Probability62.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics must be more likely than 66.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
37.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings16437.9%B

Miami Heat
DraftKings164
Break Even37.9%
Probability37.7%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 37.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.7%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel16238.2%B

Miami Heat
162
Break Even38.2%
Probability37.7%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 38.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.7%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers15239.7%C

Miami Heat
Ceasers152
Break Even39.7%
Probability37.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 39.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers15040.0%F

Miami Heat
BetRivers150
Break Even40.0%
Probability37.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada15040.0%F

Miami Heat
Bovada150
Break Even40.0%
Probability37.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM14540.8%F

Miami Heat
BetMGM145
Break Even40.8%
Probability37.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 40.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

49.6% chance that Boston Celtics win by 5.5 or more points.
50.4% chance that Miami Heat win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Boston Celtics (-5.5)Miami Heat (5.5)
49.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetMGM-10551.2%C

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
BetMGM-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers-10851.9%F

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
BetRivers-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Boston Celtics (-5.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Miami Heat (5.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Miami Heat (5.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Miami Heat (5.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11553.5%F

Miami Heat (5.5)
BetRivers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11553.5%F

Miami Heat (5.5)
BetMGM-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (5.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.9% chance that Boston Celtics win by 6.5 or more points.
51.1% chance that Miami Heat win or are within 6.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Boston Celtics (-6.5)Miami Heat (6.5)
48.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-10551.2%F

Boston Celtics (-6.5)
-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Boston Celtics (-6.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-11553.5%F

Miami Heat (6.5)
-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (6.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.5% chance that the total final score will be over 230.5 points.
49.5% chance that the total final score will be under 230.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (230.5)Under (230.5)
50.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%C

Over (230.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (230.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers-11353.1%F

Over (230.5)
BetRivers-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (230.5) must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Over (230.5)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (230.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-10551.2%C

Under (230.5)
Ceasers-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (230.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Under (230.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (230.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11052.4%F

Under (230.5)
BetRivers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (230.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 231.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 231.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (231.5)Under (231.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Over (231.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (231.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Over (231.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (231.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Over (231.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (231.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-11052.4%F

Under (231.5)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (231.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11052.4%F

Under (231.5)
BetMGM-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (231.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Under (231.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (231.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.