Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

NBA - February 28, 2026 2:10 PM

Houston Rockets have a 55.6% of winning.
Miami Heat have a 44.4% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Houston RocketsMiami Heat
55.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-13357.1%C

Houston Rockets
-133
Break Even57.1%
Probability55.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets must be more likely than 57.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-13357.1%C

Houston Rockets
MyBookie-133
Break Even57.1%
Probability55.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets must be more likely than 57.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-13557.4%C

Houston Rockets
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-13557.4%C

Houston Rockets
Ceasers-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-13557.4%C

Houston Rockets
Betonline.ag-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-13557.4%C

Houston Rockets
BetUS-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-14058.3%F

Houston Rockets
Bovada-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel12245.0%C

Miami Heat
122
Break Even45.0%
Probability44.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada12045.5%C

Miami Heat
Bovada120
Break Even45.5%
Probability44.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM11845.9%C

Miami Heat
BetMGM118
Break Even45.9%
Probability44.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 45.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig11746.1%C

Miami Heat
117
Break Even46.1%
Probability44.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 46.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers11646.3%C

Miami Heat
BetRivers116
Break Even46.3%
Probability44.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 46.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers11546.5%F

Miami Heat
Ceasers115
Break Even46.5%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag11546.5%F

Miami Heat
Betonline.ag115
Break Even46.5%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

48.9% chance that Houston Rockets win by 2 or more points.
51.1% chance that Miami Heat win or are within 2 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Houston Rockets (-2)Miami Heat (2)
48.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10150.2%C

Houston Rockets (-2)
-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2) spread must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10551.2%F

Houston Rockets (-2)
Betonline.ag-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-10551.2%F

Houston Rockets (-2)
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11152.6%C

Miami Heat (2)
-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability51.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2) spread must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11553.5%F

Miami Heat (2)
Betonline.ag-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11553.5%F

Miami Heat (2)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.6% chance that Houston Rockets win by 2.5 or more points.
50.4% chance that Miami Heat win or are within 2.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Houston Rockets (-2.5)Miami Heat (2.5)
49.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-10551.2%C

Houston Rockets (-2.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-10551.2%C

Houston Rockets (-2.5)
BetMGM-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-10551.2%C

Houston Rockets (-2.5)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-10851.9%F

Houston Rockets (-2.5)
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Houston Rockets (-2.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%F

Houston Rockets (-2.5)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-11052.4%F

Houston Rockets (-2.5)
Fanatics-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11453.3%F

Houston Rockets (-2.5)
BetRivers-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability49.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Rockets (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-10952.2%C

Miami Heat (2.5)
BetRivers-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability50.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%C

Miami Heat (2.5)
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-11052.4%C

Miami Heat (2.5)
MyBookie-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics-11052.4%C

Miami Heat (2.5)
Fanatics-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-11252.8%F

Miami Heat (2.5)
-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2.5) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-11553.5%F

Miami Heat (2.5)
DraftKings-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11553.5%F

Miami Heat (2.5)
BetMGM-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11553.5%F

Miami Heat (2.5)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Heat (2.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

51.1% chance that the total final score will be over 226 points.
48.9% chance that the total final score will be under 226 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (226)Under (226)
51.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Over (226)
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (226) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-10551.2%F

Under (226)
Ceasers-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (226) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.