Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje

MMA - December 31, 2026 11:00 PM

Ilia Topuria have a 79.9% of winning.
Justin Gaethje have a 20.1% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Ilia TopuriaJustin Gaethje
79.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-45582.0%F

Ilia Topuria
DraftKings-455
Break Even82.0%
Probability79.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ilia Topuria must be more likely than 82.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 79.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-60085.7%F

Ilia Topuria
Betonline.ag-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability79.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ilia Topuria must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 79.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
20.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag40020.0%A-

Justin Gaethje
Betonline.ag400
Break Even20.0%
Probability20.1%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.1%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
DraftKings35022.2%F

Justin Gaethje
DraftKings350
Break Even22.2%
Probability20.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.