Ryan Spann vs Mario Pinto

MMA - September 5, 2026 1:25 PM

Mario Pinto have a 73.2% of winning.
Ryan Spann have a 26.8% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mario PintoRyan Spann
73.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-30075.0%C

Mario Pinto
-300
Break Even75.0%
Probability73.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 75.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-32576.5%F

Mario Pinto
DraftKings-325
Break Even76.5%
Probability73.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 76.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-32576.5%F

Mario Pinto
Betonline.ag-325
Break Even76.5%
Probability73.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 76.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-32576.5%F

Mario Pinto
BetUS-325
Break Even76.5%
Probability73.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 76.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-33076.7%F

Mario Pinto
Ceasers-330
Break Even76.7%
Probability73.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 76.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-33076.7%F

Mario Pinto
Bovada-330
Break Even76.7%
Probability73.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 76.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-33577.0%F

Mario Pinto
BetRivers-335
Break Even77.0%
Probability73.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 77.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
26.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada27027.0%B

Ryan Spann
Bovada270
Break Even27.0%
Probability26.8%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Ryan Spann must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.8%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag26527.4%C

Ryan Spann
Betonline.ag265
Break Even27.4%
Probability26.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Ryan Spann must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS26427.5%C

Ryan Spann
BetUS264
Break Even27.5%
Probability26.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Ryan Spann must be more likely than 27.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings26027.8%C

Ryan Spann
DraftKings260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Ryan Spann must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers26027.8%C

Ryan Spann
Ceasers260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Ryan Spann must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers25528.2%C

Ryan Spann
BetRivers255
Break Even28.2%
Probability26.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Ryan Spann must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel23529.9%F

Ryan Spann
235
Break Even29.9%
Probability26.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ryan Spann must be more likely than 29.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

64.7% chance that Mario Pinto win by 3.5 or more points.
35.3% chance that Ryan Spann win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mario Pinto (-3.5)Ryan Spann (3.5)
64.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-22569.2%F

Mario Pinto (-3.5)
DraftKings-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability64.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
35.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings16537.7%F

Ryan Spann (3.5)
DraftKings165
Break Even37.7%
Probability35.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ryan Spann (3.5) spread must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

59.9% chance that Mario Pinto win by 5.5 or more points.
40.1% chance that Ryan Spann win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mario Pinto (-5.5)Ryan Spann (5.5)
59.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-17563.6%F

Mario Pinto (-5.5)
Bovada-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability59.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
40.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada13542.6%F

Ryan Spann (5.5)
Bovada135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ryan Spann (5.5) spread must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

45.8% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
54.2% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
45.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS11446.7%C

Over (1.5)
BetUS114
Break Even46.7%
Probability45.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11047.6%C

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings10548.8%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada10548.8%F

Over (1.5)
Bovada105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers10050.0%F

Over (1.5)
Ceasers100
Break Even50.0%
Probability45.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
54.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-13056.5%F

Under (1.5)
Ceasers-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13357.1%F

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag-133
Break Even57.1%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 57.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Under (1.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-13557.4%F

Under (1.5)
Bovada-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-13557.4%F

Under (1.5)
BetUS-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.