Muhammadjon Naimov vs Losene Keita

MMA - September 5, 2026 2:15 PM

Losene Keita have a 75.8% of winning.
Muhammadjon Naimov have a 24.2% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Losene KeitaMuhammadjon Naimov
75.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-35077.8%C

Losene Keita
Betonline.ag-350
Break Even77.8%
Probability75.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 77.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-35077.8%C

Losene Keita
BetUS-350
Break Even77.8%
Probability75.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 77.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers-37578.9%F

Losene Keita
BetRivers-375
Break Even78.9%
Probability75.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 78.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-38079.2%F

Losene Keita
Bovada-380
Break Even79.2%
Probability75.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 79.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-39579.8%F

Losene Keita
DraftKings-395
Break Even79.8%
Probability75.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 79.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-40080.0%F

Losene Keita
Ceasers-400
Break Even80.0%
Probability75.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-42080.8%F

Losene Keita
-420
Break Even80.8%
Probability75.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 80.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
24.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel31024.4%B

Muhammadjon Naimov
310
Break Even24.4%
Probability24.2%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Muhammadjon Naimov must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings31024.4%B

Muhammadjon Naimov
DraftKings310
Break Even24.4%
Probability24.2%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Muhammadjon Naimov must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers31024.4%B

Muhammadjon Naimov
Ceasers310
Break Even24.4%
Probability24.2%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Muhammadjon Naimov must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Bovada30025.0%C

Muhammadjon Naimov
Bovada300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Muhammadjon Naimov must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag28426.0%C

Muhammadjon Naimov
Betonline.ag284
Break Even26.0%
Probability24.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Muhammadjon Naimov must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers28026.3%F

Muhammadjon Naimov
BetRivers280
Break Even26.3%
Probability24.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Muhammadjon Naimov must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS27926.4%F

Muhammadjon Naimov
BetUS279
Break Even26.4%
Probability24.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Muhammadjon Naimov must be more likely than 26.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

53.8% chance that Losene Keita win by 7.5 or more points.
46.2% chance that Muhammadjon Naimov win or are within 7.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Losene Keita (-7.5)Muhammadjon Naimov (7.5)
53.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Losene Keita (-7.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-13557.4%F

Losene Keita (-7.5)
Bovada-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
46.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada10548.8%F

Muhammadjon Naimov (7.5)
Bovada105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Muhammadjon Naimov (7.5) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings10050.0%F

Muhammadjon Naimov (7.5)
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Muhammadjon Naimov (7.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

45.9% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
54.1% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
45.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetUS11047.6%C

Over (2.5)
BetUS110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10748.3%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag107
Break Even48.3%
Probability45.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 48.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings10548.8%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers10548.8%F

Over (2.5)
Ceasers105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada10548.8%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
54.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-13056.5%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-13056.5%F

Under (2.5)
BetUS-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-13557.4%F

Under (2.5)
Ceasers-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-13557.4%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.