Matthieu Letho vs Luis Felipe Dias

MMA - September 5, 2026 11:45 AM

Luis Felipe Dias have a 48.6% of winning.
Matthieu Letho have a 51.4% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Luis Felipe Dias

Matthieu Letho

48.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

-102

50.5%

Luis Felipe Dias

DraftKings	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Luis Felipe Dias must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

-105

51.2%

Luis Felipe Dias

	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Luis Felipe Dias must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

51.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanduel

-115

53.5%

Matthieu Letho

	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Matthieu Letho must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

DraftKings

-118

54.1%

Matthieu Letho

DraftKings	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Matthieu Letho must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

55.4% chance that Luis Felipe Dias win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
44.6% chance that Matthieu Letho win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Luis Felipe Dias (3.5)

Matthieu Letho (-3.5)

55.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

-145

59.2%

Luis Felipe Dias (3.5)

DraftKings	-145
Break Even	59.2%
Probability	55.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Luis Felipe Dias (3.5) spread must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

44.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

110

47.6%

Matthieu Letho (-3.5)

DraftKings	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Matthieu Letho (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

44.9% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
55.1% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)

Under (1.5)

44.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

110

47.6%

Over (1.5)

DraftKings	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	44.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

55.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

-140

58.3%

Under (1.5)

DraftKings	-140
Break Even	58.3%
Probability	55.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.