Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Duclos

MMA - September 5, 2026 11:35 AM

Luis Felipe Dias have a 48.7% of winning.
Matthieu Duclos have a 51.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Luis Felipe DiasMatthieu Duclos
48.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag10349.3%C

Luis Felipe Dias
Betonline.ag103
Break Even49.3%
Probability48.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Luis Felipe Dias must be more likely than 49.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers-10350.7%F

Luis Felipe Dias
BetRivers-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luis Felipe Dias must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-10551.2%F

Luis Felipe Dias
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luis Felipe Dias must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-10551.2%F

Luis Felipe Dias
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luis Felipe Dias must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Luis Felipe Dias
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability48.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luis Felipe Dias must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-11052.4%C

Matthieu Duclos
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability51.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Matthieu Duclos must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-11553.5%F

Matthieu Duclos
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Matthieu Duclos must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11553.5%F

Matthieu Duclos
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Matthieu Duclos must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12054.5%F

Matthieu Duclos
Betonline.ag-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Matthieu Duclos must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-12154.8%F

Matthieu Duclos
BetRivers-121
Break Even54.8%
Probability51.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Matthieu Duclos must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

59.9% chance that Luis Felipe Dias win or are within 5.5 points of winning.
40.1% chance that Matthieu Duclos win by 5.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Luis Felipe Dias (5.5)Matthieu Duclos (-5.5)
59.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-17563.6%F

Luis Felipe Dias (5.5)
Bovada-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability59.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luis Felipe Dias (5.5) spread must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
40.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada13542.6%F

Matthieu Duclos (-5.5)
Bovada135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Matthieu Duclos (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

44.7% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
55.3% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
44.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada11546.5%C

Over (1.5)
Bovada115
Break Even46.5%
Probability44.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11446.7%F

Over (1.5)
BetUS114
Break Even46.7%
Probability44.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag11147.4%F

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag111
Break Even47.4%
Probability44.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 47.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers11047.6%F

Over (1.5)
Ceasers110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
55.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-13557.4%F

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-13557.4%F

Under (1.5)
BetUS-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-14058.3%F

Under (1.5)
Ceasers-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-15060.0%F

Under (1.5)
Bovada-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability55.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.