Felipe Lima vs Morgan Charriere

MMA - September 5, 2026 1:45 PM

Felipe Lima have a 64.5% of winning.
Morgan Charriere have a 35.5% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Felipe LimaMorgan Charriere
64.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-19265.8%C

Felipe Lima
-192
Break Even65.8%
Probability64.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Felipe Lima must be more likely than 65.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-19866.4%C

Felipe Lima
DraftKings-198
Break Even66.4%
Probability64.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Felipe Lima must be more likely than 66.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-20567.2%F

Felipe Lima
Ceasers-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Felipe Lima must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-20567.2%F

Felipe Lima
Bovada-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Felipe Lima must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-21568.3%F

Felipe Lima
BetRivers-215
Break Even68.3%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Felipe Lima must be more likely than 68.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-21568.3%F

Felipe Lima
Betonline.ag-215
Break Even68.3%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Felipe Lima must be more likely than 68.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-21568.3%F

Felipe Lima
BetUS-215
Break Even68.3%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Felipe Lima must be more likely than 68.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
35.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag18135.6%B

Morgan Charriere
Betonline.ag181
Break Even35.6%
Probability35.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Morgan Charriere must be more likely than 35.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS17836.0%B

Morgan Charriere
BetUS178
Break Even36.0%
Probability35.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Morgan Charriere must be more likely than 36.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Bovada17336.6%C

Morgan Charriere
Bovada173
Break Even36.6%
Probability35.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Morgan Charriere must be more likely than 36.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers17037.0%C

Morgan Charriere
Ceasers170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Morgan Charriere must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers17037.0%C

Morgan Charriere
BetRivers170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Morgan Charriere must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings16437.9%F

Morgan Charriere
DraftKings164
Break Even37.9%
Probability35.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Morgan Charriere must be more likely than 37.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel15439.4%F

Morgan Charriere
154
Break Even39.4%
Probability35.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Morgan Charriere must be more likely than 39.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

43.1% chance that Felipe Lima win by 3.5 or more points.
56.9% chance that Morgan Charriere win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Felipe Lima (-3.5)Morgan Charriere (3.5)
43.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada12544.4%C

Felipe Lima (-3.5)
Bovada125
Break Even44.4%
Probability43.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Felipe Lima (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings11047.6%F

Felipe Lima (-3.5)
DraftKings110
Break Even47.6%
Probability43.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Felipe Lima (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
56.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-14559.2%F

Morgan Charriere (3.5)
DraftKings-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability56.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Morgan Charriere (3.5) spread must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-16562.3%F

Morgan Charriere (3.5)
Bovada-165
Break Even62.3%
Probability56.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Morgan Charriere (3.5) spread must be more likely than 62.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

62.4% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
37.6% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
62.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-18564.9%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-18564.9%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-19566.1%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-195
Break Even66.1%
Probability62.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 66.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-20066.7%F

Over (2.5)
Ceasers-200
Break Even66.7%
Probability62.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 66.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-20066.7%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-200
Break Even66.7%
Probability62.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 66.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
37.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag15738.9%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag157
Break Even38.9%
Probability37.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 38.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS15439.4%C

Under (2.5)
BetUS154
Break Even39.4%
Probability37.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 39.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings15040.0%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings150
Break Even40.0%
Probability37.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers15040.0%F

Under (2.5)
Ceasers150
Break Even40.0%
Probability37.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada15040.0%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada150
Break Even40.0%
Probability37.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.