Nasrat Haqparast vs Chris Padilla

MMA - August 22, 2026 4:00 PM

Chris Padilla have a 47.8% of winning.
Nasrat Haqparast have a 52.2% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chris PadillaNasrat Haqparast
47.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings10548.8%C

Chris Padilla
DraftKings105
Break Even48.8%
Probability47.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Chris Padilla must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10249.5%C

Chris Padilla
Betonline.ag102
Break Even49.5%
Probability47.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Chris Padilla must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM10050.0%F

Chris Padilla
BetMGM100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Padilla must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada10050.0%F

Chris Padilla
Bovada100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Padilla must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS10050.0%F

Chris Padilla
BetUS100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Padilla must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-10250.5%F

Chris Padilla
-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Padilla must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-10350.7%F

Chris Padilla
BetRivers-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Padilla must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-10551.2%F

Chris Padilla
Ceasers-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Padilla must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%C

Nasrat Haqparast
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability52.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Nasrat Haqparast must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-12054.5%F

Nasrat Haqparast
BetMGM-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Nasrat Haqparast must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-12054.5%F

Nasrat Haqparast
Bovada-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Nasrat Haqparast must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-12054.5%F

Nasrat Haqparast
BetUS-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Nasrat Haqparast must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-12154.8%F

Nasrat Haqparast
BetRivers-121
Break Even54.8%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Nasrat Haqparast must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12255.0%F

Nasrat Haqparast
Betonline.ag-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Nasrat Haqparast must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-12555.6%F

Nasrat Haqparast
-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Nasrat Haqparast must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-12555.6%F

Nasrat Haqparast
DraftKings-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Nasrat Haqparast must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

62.7% chance that Chris Padilla win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
37.3% chance that Nasrat Haqparast win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chris Padilla (3.5)Nasrat Haqparast (-3.5)
62.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-20567.2%F

Chris Padilla (3.5)
DraftKings-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability62.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Padilla (3.5) spread must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
37.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings15040.0%F

Nasrat Haqparast (-3.5)
DraftKings150
Break Even40.0%
Probability37.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Nasrat Haqparast (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

63.0% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
37.0% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
63.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-19065.5%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability63.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 63.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-19065.5%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability63.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 63.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-20066.7%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-200
Break Even66.7%
Probability63.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 66.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 63.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-20066.7%F

Over (2.5)
Ceasers-200
Break Even66.7%
Probability63.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 66.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 63.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-20567.2%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability63.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 63.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
37.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag16537.7%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag165
Break Even37.7%
Probability37.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS15838.8%C

Under (2.5)
BetUS158
Break Even38.8%
Probability37.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 38.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada15539.2%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada155
Break Even39.2%
Probability37.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings15439.4%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings154
Break Even39.4%
Probability37.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 39.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers15040.0%F

Under (2.5)
Ceasers150
Break Even40.0%
Probability37.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.