Shara Magomedov vs Michel Pereira

MMA - June 27, 2026 1:15 PM

Michel Pereira have a 23.2% of winning.
Shara Magomedov have a 76.8% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Shara Magomedov

23.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Michel Pereira

DraftKings	320
Break Even	23.8%
Probability	23.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Michel Pereira must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Michel Pereira

	315
Break Even	24.1%
Probability	23.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Michel Pereira must be more likely than 24.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Michel Pereira

Bovada	315
Break Even	24.1%
Probability	23.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Michel Pereira must be more likely than 24.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Michel Pereira

Ceasers	310
Break Even	24.4%
Probability	23.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Michel Pereira must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Michel Pereira

BetMGM	310
Break Even	24.4%
Probability	23.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Michel Pereira must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Michel Pereira

Betonline.ag	310
Break Even	24.4%
Probability	23.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Michel Pereira must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Michel Pereira

BetUS	309
Break Even	24.4%
Probability	23.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Michel Pereira must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

76.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Shara Magomedov

	-400
Break Even	80.0%
Probability	76.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shara Magomedov must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Shara Magomedov

Ceasers	-400
Break Even	80.0%
Probability	76.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shara Magomedov must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Shara Magomedov

BetMGM	-400
Break Even	80.0%
Probability	76.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shara Magomedov must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Shara Magomedov

Bovada	-400
Break Even	80.0%
Probability	76.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shara Magomedov must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Shara Magomedov

BetUS	-400
Break Even	80.0%
Probability	76.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shara Magomedov must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Shara Magomedov

DraftKings	-410
Break Even	80.4%
Probability	76.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shara Magomedov must be more likely than 80.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Shara Magomedov

Betonline.ag	-410
Break Even	80.4%
Probability	76.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shara Magomedov must be more likely than 80.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

40.6% chance that Michel Pereira win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
59.4% chance that Shara Magomedov win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Michel Pereira (3.5)

Shara Magomedov (-3.5)

40.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Michel Pereira (3.5)

DraftKings	130
Break Even	43.5%
Probability	40.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Michel Pereira (3.5) spread must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

59.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Shara Magomedov (-3.5)

DraftKings	-175
Break Even	63.6%
Probability	59.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shara Magomedov (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

52.0% chance that Michel Pereira win or are within 7.5 points of winning.
48.0% chance that Shara Magomedov win by 7.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Michel Pereira (7.5)

Shara Magomedov (-7.5)

52.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Michel Pereira (7.5)

Bovada	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	52.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Michel Pereira (7.5) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Shara Magomedov (-7.5)

Bovada	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shara Magomedov (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

69.7% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
30.3% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)

Under (1.5)

69.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (1.5)

Betonline.ag	-265
Break Even	72.6%
Probability	69.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 72.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (1.5)

BetUS	-265
Break Even	72.6%
Probability	69.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 72.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (1.5)

DraftKings	-280
Break Even	73.7%
Probability	69.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 73.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

30.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (1.5)

Betonline.ag	219
Break Even	31.3%
Probability	30.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 31.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (1.5)

BetUS	218
Break Even	31.4%
Probability	30.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 31.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (1.5)

DraftKings	210
Break Even	32.3%
Probability	30.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

55.4% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
44.6% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

55.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (2.5)

Bovada	-145
Break Even	59.2%
Probability	55.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

44.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (2.5)

Bovada	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.