Asu Almabaev vs Charles Johnson

MMA - June 27, 2026 12:15 PM

Asu Almabaev have a 73.0% of winning.
Charles Johnson have a 27.0% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Asu AlmabaevCharles Johnson
73.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-29074.4%C

Asu Almabaev
-290
Break Even74.4%
Probability73.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Asu Almabaev must be more likely than 74.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-31575.9%F

Asu Almabaev
Betonline.ag-315
Break Even75.9%
Probability73.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Asu Almabaev must be more likely than 75.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-31575.9%F

Asu Almabaev
BetUS-315
Break Even75.9%
Probability73.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Asu Almabaev must be more likely than 75.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-32076.2%F

Asu Almabaev
Bovada-320
Break Even76.2%
Probability73.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Asu Almabaev must be more likely than 76.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-32576.5%F

Asu Almabaev
DraftKings-325
Break Even76.5%
Probability73.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Asu Almabaev must be more likely than 76.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-33076.7%F

Asu Almabaev
Ceasers-330
Break Even76.7%
Probability73.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Asu Almabaev must be more likely than 76.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
27.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag26527.4%B

Charles Johnson
Betonline.ag265
Break Even27.4%
Probability27.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Charles Johnson must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings26027.8%C

Charles Johnson
DraftKings260
Break Even27.8%
Probability27.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Charles Johnson must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers26027.8%C

Charles Johnson
Ceasers260
Break Even27.8%
Probability27.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Charles Johnson must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada26027.8%C

Charles Johnson
Bovada260
Break Even27.8%
Probability27.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Charles Johnson must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS25827.9%C

Charles Johnson
BetUS258
Break Even27.9%
Probability27.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Charles Johnson must be more likely than 27.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel23529.9%F

Charles Johnson
235
Break Even29.9%
Probability27.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Charles Johnson must be more likely than 29.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

50.0% chance that Asu Almabaev win by 3.5 or more points.
50.0% chance that Charles Johnson win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Asu Almabaev (-3.5)Charles Johnson (3.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-11553.5%F

Asu Almabaev (-3.5)
DraftKings-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Asu Almabaev (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-11553.5%F

Charles Johnson (3.5)
DraftKings-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Charles Johnson (3.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

40.8% chance that Asu Almabaev win by 5.5 or more points.
59.2% chance that Charles Johnson win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Asu Almabaev (-5.5)Charles Johnson (5.5)
40.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada13043.5%F

Asu Almabaev (-5.5)
Bovada130
Break Even43.5%
Probability40.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Asu Almabaev (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
59.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-17063.0%F

Charles Johnson (5.5)
Bovada-170
Break Even63.0%
Probability59.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Charles Johnson (5.5) spread must be more likely than 63.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

70.3% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
29.7% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
70.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-27573.3%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-275
Break Even73.3%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 73.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-27573.3%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-275
Break Even73.3%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 73.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-28574.0%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-285
Break Even74.0%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 74.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-29874.9%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-298
Break Even74.9%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 74.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
29.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag22630.7%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag226
Break Even30.7%
Probability29.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 30.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS22630.7%C

Under (2.5)
BetUS226
Break Even30.7%
Probability29.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 30.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings22031.2%C

Under (2.5)
DraftKings220
Break Even31.2%
Probability29.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada21032.3%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada210
Break Even32.3%
Probability29.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.