Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje

MMA - June 14, 2026 10:00 PM

Ilia Topuria have a 82.0% of winning.
Justin Gaethje have a 18.0% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Ilia TopuriaJustin Gaethje
82.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-52083.9%C

Ilia Topuria
-520
Break Even83.9%
Probability82.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Ilia Topuria must be more likely than 83.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-57585.2%F

Ilia Topuria
DraftKings-575
Break Even85.2%
Probability82.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ilia Topuria must be more likely than 85.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-60085.7%F

Ilia Topuria
Ceasers-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability82.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ilia Topuria must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-65086.7%F

Ilia Topuria
BetMGM-650
Break Even86.7%
Probability82.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ilia Topuria must be more likely than 86.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-70087.5%F

Ilia Topuria
Betonline.ag-700
Break Even87.5%
Probability82.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ilia Topuria must be more likely than 87.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-77088.5%F

Ilia Topuria
BetRivers-770
Break Even88.5%
Probability82.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ilia Topuria must be more likely than 88.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 82.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
18.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetRivers52516.0%A+

Justin Gaethje
BetRivers525
Break Even16.0%
Probability18.0%
GradeA+
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.0%, more likely, giving this bet a A+ grade.
Betonline.ag52516.0%A+

Justin Gaethje
Betonline.ag525
Break Even16.0%
Probability18.0%
GradeA+
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.0%, more likely, giving this bet a A+ grade.
DraftKings42519.0%C

Justin Gaethje
DraftKings425
Break Even19.0%
Probability18.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 19.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM40020.0%C

Justin Gaethje
BetMGM400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers38020.8%F

Justin Gaethje
Ceasers380
Break Even20.8%
Probability18.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 20.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel35022.2%F

Justin Gaethje
350
Break Even22.2%
Probability18.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.