Matt Schnell vs Alessandro Costa

MMA - June 6, 2026 5:00 PM

Alessandro Costa have a 81.7% of winning.
Matt Schnell have a 18.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Alessandro CostaMatt Schnell
81.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-51583.7%F

Alessandro Costa
Betonline.ag-515
Break Even83.7%
Probability81.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alessandro Costa must be more likely than 83.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-53584.3%F

Alessandro Costa
DraftKings-535
Break Even84.3%
Probability81.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alessandro Costa must be more likely than 84.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-58585.4%F

Alessandro Costa
BetUS-585
Break Even85.4%
Probability81.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alessandro Costa must be more likely than 85.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-60085.7%F

Alessandro Costa
Bovada-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability81.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alessandro Costa must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-70087.5%F

Alessandro Costa
-700
Break Even87.5%
Probability81.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alessandro Costa must be more likely than 87.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
18.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel47017.5%A+

Matt Schnell
470
Break Even17.5%
Probability18.3%
GradeA+
For this to be profitable, Matt Schnell must be more likely than 17.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.3%, more likely, giving this bet a A+ grade.
Bovada42519.0%C

Matt Schnell
Bovada425
Break Even19.0%
Probability18.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Matt Schnell must be more likely than 19.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS42019.2%C

Matt Schnell
BetUS420
Break Even19.2%
Probability18.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Matt Schnell must be more likely than 19.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings40020.0%C

Matt Schnell
DraftKings400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Matt Schnell must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag40020.0%C

Matt Schnell
Betonline.ag400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Matt Schnell must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

80.7% chance that Alessandro Costa win by 3.5 or more points.
19.3% chance that Matt Schnell win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Alessandro Costa (-3.5)Matt Schnell (3.5)
80.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-62586.2%F

Alessandro Costa (-3.5)
Bovada-625
Break Even86.2%
Probability80.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alessandro Costa (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 86.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
19.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada38520.6%C

Matt Schnell (3.5)
Bovada385
Break Even20.6%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Matt Schnell (3.5) spread must be more likely than 20.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

77.8% chance that Alessandro Costa win by 7.5 or more points.
22.2% chance that Matt Schnell win or are within 7.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Alessandro Costa (-7.5)Matt Schnell (7.5)
77.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-50083.3%F

Alessandro Costa (-7.5)
DraftKings-500
Break Even83.3%
Probability77.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alessandro Costa (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 83.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
22.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings32023.8%C

Matt Schnell (7.5)
DraftKings320
Break Even23.8%
Probability22.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Matt Schnell (7.5) spread must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Totals:

41.3% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
58.7% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
41.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag14041.7%B

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag140
Break Even41.7%
Probability41.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS13442.7%C

Over (1.5)
BetUS134
Break Even42.7%
Probability41.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 42.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada12544.4%F

Over (1.5)
Bovada125
Break Even44.4%
Probability41.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings12444.6%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings124
Break Even44.6%
Probability41.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
58.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-16061.5%F

Under (1.5)
DraftKings-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-16061.5%F

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-16061.5%F

Under (1.5)
BetUS-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-16562.3%F

Under (1.5)
Bovada-165
Break Even62.3%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 62.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.