Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa

MMA - June 6, 2026 4:00 PM

Iwo Baraniewski have a 76.9% of winning.
Junior Tafa have a 23.1% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Iwo BaraniewskiJunior Tafa
76.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-39579.8%F

Iwo Baraniewski
DraftKings-395
Break Even79.8%
Probability76.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Iwo Baraniewski must be more likely than 79.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-40080.0%F

Iwo Baraniewski
Betonline.ag-400
Break Even80.0%
Probability76.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Iwo Baraniewski must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-41080.4%F

Iwo Baraniewski
Bovada-410
Break Even80.4%
Probability76.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Iwo Baraniewski must be more likely than 80.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-41080.4%F

Iwo Baraniewski
BetUS-410
Break Even80.4%
Probability76.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Iwo Baraniewski must be more likely than 80.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-42080.8%F

Iwo Baraniewski
-420
Break Even80.8%
Probability76.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Iwo Baraniewski must be more likely than 80.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
23.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag33023.3%B

Junior Tafa
Betonline.ag330
Break Even23.3%
Probability23.1%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 23.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS31524.1%C

Junior Tafa
BetUS315
Break Even24.1%
Probability23.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 24.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel31024.4%C

Junior Tafa
310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings31024.4%C

Junior Tafa
DraftKings310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada30524.7%C

Junior Tafa
Bovada305
Break Even24.7%
Probability23.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 24.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

72.8% chance that Iwo Baraniewski win by 3.5 or more points.
27.2% chance that Junior Tafa win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Iwo Baraniewski (-3.5)Junior Tafa (3.5)
72.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-35077.8%F

Iwo Baraniewski (-3.5)
DraftKings-350
Break Even77.8%
Probability72.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Iwo Baraniewski (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 77.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-35077.8%F

Iwo Baraniewski (-3.5)
Bovada-350
Break Even77.8%
Probability72.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Iwo Baraniewski (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 77.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
27.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada25028.6%C

Junior Tafa (3.5)
Bovada250
Break Even28.6%
Probability27.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa (3.5) spread must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings24029.4%F

Junior Tafa (3.5)
DraftKings240
Break Even29.4%
Probability27.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa (3.5) spread must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

26.5% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
73.5% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
26.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag27426.7%B

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag274
Break Even26.7%
Probability26.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS27326.8%B

Over (1.5)
BetUS273
Break Even26.8%
Probability26.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 26.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Bovada25028.6%F

Over (1.5)
Bovada250
Break Even28.6%
Probability26.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings24029.4%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings240
Break Even29.4%
Probability26.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
73.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-33076.7%F

Under (1.5)
DraftKings-330
Break Even76.7%
Probability73.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 76.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-34077.3%F

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag-340
Break Even77.3%
Probability73.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 77.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-34077.3%F

Under (1.5)
BetUS-340
Break Even77.3%
Probability73.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 77.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-35077.8%F

Under (1.5)
Bovada-350
Break Even77.8%
Probability73.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 77.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.