Sean Strickland vs Khamzat Chimaev

MMA - May 9, 2026 10:30 PM

Khamzat Chimaev have a 81.5% of winning.
Sean Strickland have a 18.5% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Khamzat ChimaevSean Strickland
81.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-55084.6%F

Khamzat Chimaev
DraftKings-550
Break Even84.6%
Probability81.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Khamzat Chimaev must be more likely than 84.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-56084.8%F

Khamzat Chimaev
BetRivers-560
Break Even84.8%
Probability81.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Khamzat Chimaev must be more likely than 84.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-59085.5%F

Khamzat Chimaev
-590
Break Even85.5%
Probability81.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Khamzat Chimaev must be more likely than 85.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-60085.7%F

Khamzat Chimaev
Ceasers-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability81.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Khamzat Chimaev must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-60085.7%F

Khamzat Chimaev
BetMGM-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability81.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Khamzat Chimaev must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-60085.7%F

Khamzat Chimaev
Bovada-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability81.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Khamzat Chimaev must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-60085.7%F

Khamzat Chimaev
Betonline.ag-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability81.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Khamzat Chimaev must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
18.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers43018.9%B

Sean Strickland
Ceasers430
Break Even18.9%
Probability18.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Sean Strickland must be more likely than 18.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetMGM42519.0%C

Sean Strickland
BetMGM425
Break Even19.0%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Sean Strickland must be more likely than 19.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada42519.0%C

Sean Strickland
Bovada425
Break Even19.0%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Sean Strickland must be more likely than 19.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag42519.0%C

Sean Strickland
Betonline.ag425
Break Even19.0%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Sean Strickland must be more likely than 19.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings41019.6%C

Sean Strickland
DraftKings410
Break Even19.6%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Sean Strickland must be more likely than 19.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers40020.0%C

Sean Strickland
BetRivers400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Sean Strickland must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel39020.4%C

Sean Strickland
390
Break Even20.4%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Sean Strickland must be more likely than 20.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

64.7% chance that Khamzat Chimaev win by 13.5 or more points.
35.3% chance that Sean Strickland win or are within 13.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Khamzat Chimaev (-13.5)Sean Strickland (13.5)
64.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-22569.2%F

Khamzat Chimaev (-13.5)
DraftKings-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability64.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Khamzat Chimaev (-13.5) spread must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
35.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings16537.7%F

Sean Strickland (13.5)
DraftKings165
Break Even37.7%
Probability35.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Sean Strickland (13.5) spread must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

50.0% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
50.0% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-11553.5%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-11553.5%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

41.6% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
58.4% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
41.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag14041.7%B

Over (3.5)
Betonline.ag140
Break Even41.7%
Probability41.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Over (3.5) must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings12045.5%F

Over (3.5)
DraftKings120
Break Even45.5%
Probability41.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (3.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
58.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-15460.6%F

Under (3.5)
DraftKings-154
Break Even60.6%
Probability58.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (3.5) must be more likely than 60.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-16061.5%F

Under (3.5)
Betonline.ag-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability58.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (3.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.