Jeremy Stephens vs King Green

MMA - May 9, 2026 8:15 PM

Jeremy Stephens have a 26.9% of winning.
King Green have a 73.1% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Jeremy StephensKing Green
26.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings27526.7%A-

Jeremy Stephens
DraftKings275
Break Even26.7%
Probability26.9%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, Jeremy Stephens must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.9%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Betonline.ag27526.7%A-

Jeremy Stephens
Betonline.ag275
Break Even26.7%
Probability26.9%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, Jeremy Stephens must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.9%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Bovada26027.8%C

Jeremy Stephens
Bovada260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Jeremy Stephens must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers25028.6%C

Jeremy Stephens
Ceasers250
Break Even28.6%
Probability26.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Jeremy Stephens must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers25028.6%C

Jeremy Stephens
BetRivers250
Break Even28.6%
Probability26.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Jeremy Stephens must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel24029.4%F

Jeremy Stephens
240
Break Even29.4%
Probability26.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jeremy Stephens must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM24029.4%F

Jeremy Stephens
BetMGM240
Break Even29.4%
Probability26.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jeremy Stephens must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
73.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-30075.0%C

King Green
BetMGM-300
Break Even75.0%
Probability73.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, King Green must be more likely than 75.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-32076.2%F

King Green
Ceasers-320
Break Even76.2%
Probability73.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, King Green must be more likely than 76.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-32076.2%F

King Green
Bovada-320
Break Even76.2%
Probability73.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, King Green must be more likely than 76.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-33076.7%F

King Green
-330
Break Even76.7%
Probability73.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, King Green must be more likely than 76.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-33577.0%F

King Green
BetRivers-335
Break Even77.0%
Probability73.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, King Green must be more likely than 77.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-33577.0%F

King Green
Betonline.ag-335
Break Even77.0%
Probability73.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, King Green must be more likely than 77.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-34577.5%F

King Green
DraftKings-345
Break Even77.5%
Probability73.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, King Green must be more likely than 77.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 73.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

50.0% chance that Jeremy Stephens win or are within 5.5 points of winning.
50.0% chance that King Green win by 5.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Jeremy Stephens (5.5)King Green (-5.5)
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-11553.5%F

Jeremy Stephens (5.5)
DraftKings-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jeremy Stephens (5.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-11553.5%F

King Green (-5.5)
DraftKings-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, King Green (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

57.7% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
42.3% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
57.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-15060.0%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-15560.8%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability57.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-16061.5%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability57.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag13043.5%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings12444.6%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings124
Break Even44.6%
Probability42.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada12045.5%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada120
Break Even45.5%
Probability42.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.