Shem Rock vs Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

MMA - March 21, 2026 1:15 PM

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady have a 49.1% of winning.
Shem Rock have a 50.9% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyShem Rock
49.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag10249.5%B

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Betonline.ag102
Break Even49.5%
Probability49.1%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings10050.0%C

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability49.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM10050.0%C

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
BetMGM100
Break Even50.0%
Probability49.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-10551.2%F

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Ceasers-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-10551.2%F

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-11252.8%F

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-12154.8%F

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
BetRivers-121
Break Even54.8%
Probability49.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-10451.0%B

Shem Rock
BetRivers-104
Break Even51.0%
Probability50.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Shem Rock must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel-10851.9%C

Shem Rock
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Shem Rock must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11052.4%C

Shem Rock
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Shem Rock must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Shem Rock
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Shem Rock must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11553.5%F

Shem Rock
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Shem Rock must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-12054.5%F

Shem Rock
DraftKings-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability50.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Shem Rock must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-12054.5%F

Shem Rock
BetMGM-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability50.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Shem Rock must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12255.0%F

Shem Rock
Betonline.ag-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability50.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Shem Rock must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

36.8% chance that Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady win by 3.5 or more points.
63.2% chance that Shem Rock win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (-3.5)Shem Rock (3.5)
36.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada16038.5%C

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (-3.5)
Bovada160
Break Even38.5%
Probability36.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 36.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings15040.0%F

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (-3.5)
DraftKings150
Break Even40.0%
Probability36.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 36.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
63.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-20567.2%F

Shem Rock (3.5)
DraftKings-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability63.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Shem Rock (3.5) spread must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 63.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-21067.7%F

Shem Rock (3.5)
Bovada-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability63.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Shem Rock (3.5) spread must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 63.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

57.5% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
42.5% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
57.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-14559.2%C

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability57.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-14559.2%C

Over (2.5)
BetUS-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability57.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-16061.5%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability57.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-16562.3%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-165
Break Even62.3%
Probability57.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 62.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada12544.4%C

Under (2.5)
Bovada125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag12544.4%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings12444.6%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings124
Break Even44.6%
Probability42.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS12245.0%F

Under (2.5)
BetUS122
Break Even45.0%
Probability42.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.