Losene Keita vs Nathaniel Wood

MMA - March 21, 2026 2:20 PM

Losene Keita have a 67.4% of winning.
Nathaniel Wood have a 32.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Losene KeitaNathaniel Wood
67.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-23069.7%F

Losene Keita
Ceasers-230
Break Even69.7%
Probability67.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-23069.7%F

Losene Keita
Betonline.ag-230
Break Even69.7%
Probability67.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-23069.7%F

Losene Keita
BetUS-230
Break Even69.7%
Probability67.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-23570.1%F

Losene Keita
BetMGM-235
Break Even70.1%
Probability67.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 70.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-24070.6%F

Losene Keita
Bovada-240
Break Even70.6%
Probability67.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 70.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-24571.0%F

Losene Keita
-245
Break Even71.0%
Probability67.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 71.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-24571.0%F

Losene Keita
DraftKings-245
Break Even71.0%
Probability67.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 71.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-24571.0%F

Losene Keita
BetRivers-245
Break Even71.0%
Probability67.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita must be more likely than 71.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
32.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings20033.3%C

Nathaniel Wood
DraftKings200
Break Even33.3%
Probability32.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Nathaniel Wood must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada20033.3%C

Nathaniel Wood
Bovada200
Break Even33.3%
Probability32.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Nathaniel Wood must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag19533.9%C

Nathaniel Wood
Betonline.ag195
Break Even33.9%
Probability32.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Nathaniel Wood must be more likely than 33.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel19434.0%C

Nathaniel Wood
194
Break Even34.0%
Probability32.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Nathaniel Wood must be more likely than 34.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers19034.5%C

Nathaniel Wood
Ceasers190
Break Even34.5%
Probability32.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Nathaniel Wood must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers19034.5%C

Nathaniel Wood
BetRivers190
Break Even34.5%
Probability32.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Nathaniel Wood must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM19034.5%C

Nathaniel Wood
BetMGM190
Break Even34.5%
Probability32.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Nathaniel Wood must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS19034.5%C

Nathaniel Wood
BetUS190
Break Even34.5%
Probability32.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Nathaniel Wood must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

52.0% chance that Losene Keita win by 3.5 or more points.
48.0% chance that Nathaniel Wood win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Losene Keita (-3.5)Nathaniel Wood (3.5)
52.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-12555.6%F

Losene Keita (-3.5)
Bovada-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-10551.2%F

Nathaniel Wood (3.5)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Nathaniel Wood (3.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.0% chance that Losene Keita win by 5.5 or more points.
52.0% chance that Nathaniel Wood win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Losene Keita (-5.5)Nathaniel Wood (5.5)
48.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-10551.2%F

Losene Keita (-5.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Losene Keita (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.0%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-12555.6%F

Nathaniel Wood (5.5)
DraftKings-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Nathaniel Wood (5.5) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

55.6% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
44.4% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
55.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-13357.1%C

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-133
Break Even57.1%
Probability55.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 57.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-13557.4%C

Over (2.5)
BetUS-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-14559.2%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-15460.6%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-154
Break Even60.6%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings12045.5%C

Under (2.5)
DraftKings120
Break Even45.5%
Probability44.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11446.7%F

Under (2.5)
BetUS114
Break Even46.7%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag11346.9%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag113
Break Even46.9%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 46.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada11047.6%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.