Felipe Franco vs Mario Pinto

MMA - March 21, 2026 1:45 PM

Felipe Franco have a 13.7% of winning.
Mario Pinto have a 86.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

13.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Felipe Franco

BetRivers	650
Break Even	13.3%
Probability	13.7%
Grade	A

For this to be profitable, Felipe Franco must be more likely than 13.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.7%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.

Felipe Franco

DraftKings	600
Break Even	14.3%
Probability	13.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Felipe Franco must be more likely than 14.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Felipe Franco

Ceasers	600
Break Even	14.3%
Probability	13.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Felipe Franco must be more likely than 14.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Felipe Franco

BetMGM	600
Break Even	14.3%
Probability	13.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Felipe Franco must be more likely than 14.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Felipe Franco

Bovada	600
Break Even	14.3%
Probability	13.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Felipe Franco must be more likely than 14.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Felipe Franco

Betonline.ag	600
Break Even	14.3%
Probability	13.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Felipe Franco must be more likely than 14.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Felipe Franco

BetUS	575
Break Even	14.8%
Probability	13.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Felipe Franco must be more likely than 14.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Felipe Franco

	570
Break Even	14.9%
Probability	13.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Felipe Franco must be more likely than 14.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 13.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

86.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Mario Pinto

	-900
Break Even	90.0%
Probability	86.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 90.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 86.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mario Pinto

DraftKings	-900
Break Even	90.0%
Probability	86.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 90.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 86.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mario Pinto

Ceasers	-900
Break Even	90.0%
Probability	86.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 90.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 86.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mario Pinto

BetMGM	-900
Break Even	90.0%
Probability	86.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 90.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 86.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mario Pinto

Betonline.ag	-900
Break Even	90.0%
Probability	86.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 90.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 86.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mario Pinto

BetUS	-900
Break Even	90.0%
Probability	86.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 90.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 86.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mario Pinto

Bovada	-950
Break Even	90.5%
Probability	86.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 90.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 86.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mario Pinto

BetRivers	-1000
Break Even	90.9%
Probability	86.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto must be more likely than 90.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 86.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

20.8% chance that Felipe Franco win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
79.2% chance that Mario Pinto win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Felipe Franco (3.5)

Mario Pinto (-3.5)

20.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Felipe Franco (3.5)

Bovada	350
Break Even	22.2%
Probability	20.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Felipe Franco (3.5) spread must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

79.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Mario Pinto (-3.5)

Bovada	-550
Break Even	84.6%
Probability	79.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 84.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 79.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

23.2% chance that Felipe Franco win or are within 7.5 points of winning.
76.8% chance that Mario Pinto win by 7.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Felipe Franco (7.5)

Mario Pinto (-7.5)

23.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Felipe Franco (7.5)

DraftKings	300
Break Even	25.0%
Probability	23.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Felipe Franco (7.5) spread must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

76.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Mario Pinto (-7.5)

DraftKings	-475
Break Even	82.6%
Probability	76.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mario Pinto (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 82.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

40.4% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
59.6% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)

Under (1.5)

40.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (1.5)

Betonline.ag	140
Break Even	41.7%
Probability	40.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (1.5)

DraftKings	135
Break Even	42.6%
Probability	40.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (1.5)

Bovada	135
Break Even	42.6%
Probability	40.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (1.5)

BetUS	134
Break Even	42.7%
Probability	40.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 42.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

59.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (1.5)

Betonline.ag	-160
Break Even	61.5%
Probability	59.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (1.5)

BetUS	-160
Break Even	61.5%
Probability	59.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (1.5)

DraftKings	-175
Break Even	63.6%
Probability	59.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (1.5)

Bovada	-175
Break Even	63.6%
Probability	59.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.