Axel Sola vs Mason Jones

MMA - March 21, 2026 2:40 PM

Axel Sola have a 43.3% of winning.
Mason Jones have a 56.7% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Axel Sola

Mason Jones

43.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Ceasers

130

43.5%

Axel Sola

Ceasers	130
Break Even	43.5%
Probability	43.3%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, Axel Sola must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Bovada

130

43.5%

Axel Sola

Bovada	130
Break Even	43.5%
Probability	43.3%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, Axel Sola must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

BetMGM

125

44.4%

Axel Sola

BetMGM	125
Break Even	44.4%
Probability	43.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Axel Sola must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

125

44.4%

Axel Sola

Betonline.ag	125
Break Even	44.4%
Probability	43.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Axel Sola must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

124

44.6%

Axel Sola

DraftKings	124
Break Even	44.6%
Probability	43.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Axel Sola must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetUS

122

45.0%

Axel Sola

BetUS	122
Break Even	45.0%
Probability	43.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Axel Sola must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

112

47.2%

Axel Sola

	112
Break Even	47.2%
Probability	43.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Axel Sola must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetRivers

105

48.8%

Axel Sola

BetRivers	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	43.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Axel Sola must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

56.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Mason Jones

BetRivers	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	56.7%
Grade	A-

For this to be profitable, Mason Jones must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.7%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.

Fanduel

-138

58.0%

Mason Jones

	-138
Break Even	58.0%
Probability	56.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Mason Jones must be more likely than 58.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

-145

59.2%

Mason Jones

Betonline.ag	-145
Break Even	59.2%
Probability	56.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mason Jones must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetUS

-145

59.2%

Mason Jones

BetUS	-145
Break Even	59.2%
Probability	56.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mason Jones must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

DraftKings

-148

59.7%

Mason Jones

DraftKings	-148
Break Even	59.7%
Probability	56.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mason Jones must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetMGM

-150

60.0%

Mason Jones

BetMGM	-150
Break Even	60.0%
Probability	56.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mason Jones must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Bovada

-150

60.0%

Mason Jones

Bovada	-150
Break Even	60.0%
Probability	56.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mason Jones must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Ceasers

-155

60.8%

Mason Jones

Ceasers	-155
Break Even	60.8%
Probability	56.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mason Jones must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

61.0% chance that Axel Sola win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
39.0% chance that Mason Jones win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Axel Sola (3.5)

Mason Jones (-3.5)

61.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-185

64.9%

Axel Sola (3.5)

Bovada	-185
Break Even	64.9%
Probability	61.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Axel Sola (3.5) spread must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 61.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

DraftKings

-190

65.5%

Axel Sola (3.5)

DraftKings	-190
Break Even	65.5%
Probability	61.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Axel Sola (3.5) spread must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 61.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

39.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

140

41.7%

Mason Jones (-3.5)

DraftKings	140
Break Even	41.7%
Probability	39.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mason Jones (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Bovada

140

41.7%

Mason Jones (-3.5)

Bovada	140
Break Even	41.7%
Probability	39.0%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mason Jones (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

64.8% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
35.2% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

64.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetUS

-200

66.7%

Over (2.5)

BetUS	-200
Break Even	66.7%
Probability	64.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 66.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

-205

67.2%

Over (2.5)

Betonline.ag	-205
Break Even	67.2%
Probability	64.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Bovada

-220

68.8%

Over (2.5)

Bovada	-220
Break Even	68.8%
Probability	64.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

DraftKings

-230

69.7%

Over (2.5)

DraftKings	-230
Break Even	69.7%
Probability	64.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

35.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Betonline.ag

177

36.1%

Under (2.5)

Betonline.ag	177
Break Even	36.1%
Probability	35.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 36.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

175

36.4%

Under (2.5)

DraftKings	175
Break Even	36.4%
Probability	35.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetUS

166

37.6%

Under (2.5)

BetUS	166
Break Even	37.6%
Probability	35.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 37.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Bovada

165

37.7%

Under (2.5)

Bovada	165
Break Even	37.7%
Probability	35.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.