Antonio Trocoli vs Mantas Kondratavicius

MMA - March 21, 2026 2:00 PM

Antonio Trocoli have a 15.1% of winning.
Mantas Kondratavicius have a 84.9% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Antonio Trocoli

Mantas Kondratavicius

15.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Antonio Trocoli

DraftKings	550
Break Even	15.4%
Probability	15.1%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, Antonio Trocoli must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Antonio Trocoli

Ceasers	550
Break Even	15.4%
Probability	15.1%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, Antonio Trocoli must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Antonio Trocoli

BetMGM	550
Break Even	15.4%
Probability	15.1%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, Antonio Trocoli must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Antonio Trocoli

Bovada	550
Break Even	15.4%
Probability	15.1%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, Antonio Trocoli must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Antonio Trocoli

Betonline.ag	550
Break Even	15.4%
Probability	15.1%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, Antonio Trocoli must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Antonio Trocoli

BetRivers	540
Break Even	15.6%
Probability	15.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Antonio Trocoli must be more likely than 15.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Antonio Trocoli

BetUS	505
Break Even	16.5%
Probability	15.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Antonio Trocoli must be more likely than 16.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Antonio Trocoli

	490
Break Even	16.9%
Probability	15.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Antonio Trocoli must be more likely than 16.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

84.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Mantas Kondratavicius

	-750
Break Even	88.2%
Probability	84.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mantas Kondratavicius must be more likely than 88.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mantas Kondratavicius

Betonline.ag	-750
Break Even	88.2%
Probability	84.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mantas Kondratavicius must be more likely than 88.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mantas Kondratavicius

BetUS	-750
Break Even	88.2%
Probability	84.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mantas Kondratavicius must be more likely than 88.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mantas Kondratavicius

BetRivers	-770
Break Even	88.5%
Probability	84.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mantas Kondratavicius must be more likely than 88.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mantas Kondratavicius

DraftKings	-800
Break Even	88.9%
Probability	84.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mantas Kondratavicius must be more likely than 88.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mantas Kondratavicius

Ceasers	-800
Break Even	88.9%
Probability	84.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mantas Kondratavicius must be more likely than 88.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mantas Kondratavicius

BetMGM	-800
Break Even	88.9%
Probability	84.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mantas Kondratavicius must be more likely than 88.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Mantas Kondratavicius

Bovada	-850
Break Even	89.5%
Probability	84.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mantas Kondratavicius must be more likely than 89.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

18.8% chance that Antonio Trocoli win or are within 5.5 points of winning.
81.2% chance that Mantas Kondratavicius win by 5.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Antonio Trocoli (5.5)

Mantas Kondratavicius (-5.5)

18.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Antonio Trocoli (5.5)

Bovada	400
Break Even	20.0%
Probability	18.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Antonio Trocoli (5.5) spread must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

81.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Mantas Kondratavicius (-5.5)

Bovada	-650
Break Even	86.7%
Probability	81.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mantas Kondratavicius (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 86.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

19.4% chance that Antonio Trocoli win or are within 7.5 points of winning.
80.6% chance that Mantas Kondratavicius win by 7.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Antonio Trocoli (7.5)

Mantas Kondratavicius (-7.5)

19.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Antonio Trocoli (7.5)

DraftKings	380
Break Even	20.8%
Probability	19.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Antonio Trocoli (7.5) spread must be more likely than 20.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

80.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Mantas Kondratavicius (-7.5)

DraftKings	-650
Break Even	86.7%
Probability	80.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Mantas Kondratavicius (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 86.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

32.5% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
67.5% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)

Under (1.5)

32.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (1.5)

Bovada	200
Break Even	33.3%
Probability	32.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (1.5)

Betonline.ag	192
Break Even	34.2%
Probability	32.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 34.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (1.5)

DraftKings	190
Break Even	34.5%
Probability	32.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (1.5)

BetUS	190
Break Even	34.5%
Probability	32.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

67.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (1.5)

Betonline.ag	-230
Break Even	69.7%
Probability	67.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (1.5)

BetUS	-230
Break Even	69.7%
Probability	67.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (1.5)

DraftKings	-250
Break Even	71.4%
Probability	67.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (1.5)

Bovada	-275
Break Even	73.3%
Probability	67.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 73.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.