Santiago Luna vs Angel Pacheco

MMA - February 28, 2026 7:15 PM

Angel Pacheco have a 15.7% of winning.
Santiago Luna have a 84.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Angel PachecoSantiago Luna
15.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings55015.4%A

Angel Pacheco
DraftKings550
Break Even15.4%
Probability15.7%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, Angel Pacheco must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.7%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Ceasers55015.4%A

Angel Pacheco
Ceasers550
Break Even15.4%
Probability15.7%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, Angel Pacheco must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.7%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
BetRivers52516.0%B

Angel Pacheco
BetRivers525
Break Even16.0%
Probability15.7%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Angel Pacheco must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.7%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag52516.0%B

Angel Pacheco
Betonline.ag525
Break Even16.0%
Probability15.7%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Angel Pacheco must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.7%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetMGM50016.7%C

Angel Pacheco
BetMGM500
Break Even16.7%
Probability15.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Angel Pacheco must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS47517.4%C

Angel Pacheco
BetUS475
Break Even17.4%
Probability15.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Angel Pacheco must be more likely than 17.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel46017.9%F

Angel Pacheco
460
Break Even17.9%
Probability15.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Angel Pacheco must be more likely than 17.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
84.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-65086.7%F

Santiago Luna
-650
Break Even86.7%
Probability84.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Santiago Luna must be more likely than 86.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-70087.5%F

Santiago Luna
BetMGM-700
Break Even87.5%
Probability84.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Santiago Luna must be more likely than 87.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-70087.5%F

Santiago Luna
Betonline.ag-700
Break Even87.5%
Probability84.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Santiago Luna must be more likely than 87.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-70087.5%F

Santiago Luna
BetUS-700
Break Even87.5%
Probability84.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Santiago Luna must be more likely than 87.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-77088.5%F

Santiago Luna
BetRivers-770
Break Even88.5%
Probability84.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Santiago Luna must be more likely than 88.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-80088.9%F

Santiago Luna
DraftKings-800
Break Even88.9%
Probability84.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Santiago Luna must be more likely than 88.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-80088.9%F

Santiago Luna
Ceasers-800
Break Even88.9%
Probability84.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Santiago Luna must be more likely than 88.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

33.3% chance that Angel Pacheco win or are within 7.5 points of winning.
66.7% chance that Santiago Luna win by 7.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Angel Pacheco (7.5)Santiago Luna (-7.5)
33.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings18035.7%F

Angel Pacheco (7.5)
DraftKings180
Break Even35.7%
Probability33.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Angel Pacheco (7.5) spread must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
66.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-25071.4%F

Santiago Luna (-7.5)
DraftKings-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability66.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Santiago Luna (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

47.2% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
52.8% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
47.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag10548.8%C

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag105
Break Even48.8%
Probability47.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS10548.8%C

Over (1.5)
BetUS105
Break Even48.8%
Probability47.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-10551.2%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability47.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-12555.6%F

Under (1.5)
DraftKings-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12555.6%F

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-12555.6%F

Under (1.5)
BetUS-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.